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Casa Pia vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts CF Estrela Amadora in a tightly contested Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams struggle near the relegation zone. Casa Pia shows slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Estrela have offensive challenges away from home. Historical encounters indicate low scoring and balanced competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has 2 wins in last 9 matches with a deccent home record but fragile defense. Estrela Amadora struggles on the road with fewer goals scored and a leaky defense, holding just 6 wins overall compared to Casa Pia's 11.
  • In 6 matches, Casa Pia and Estrela have won 3 each, with no draws. Their last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia. Matches tend to be low scoring with an average of 1.83 total goals per game.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting lineups from available sources; both teams likely fielding expected lineups.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. Venue at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, a neutral-style stadium, may reduce usual home field impact but Casa Pia still holds advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb away from lower table relegation threats. Casa Pia slightly more stable with recent form, increasing their push for points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 215 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Casa Pia -0.5: 105, CF Estrela +50: -125 Casa Pia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win the match with a low-scoring affair expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Porto vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Do Dragão

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Braga in the Liga Portugal Round 10 at Estádio Do Dragão. Porto is historically dominant in this fixture and currently shows stronger form and defensive solidity at home, while Braga remains competitive but less consistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and maintaining 7 clean sheets, ranking 3rd at home this season. Braga has a stable run but fewer wins (1 in last 5) and concedes on average 1 goal per match.
  • FC Porto leads the historical H2H with 32 wins to Braga's 12 and 12 draws since 2003, showing a strong home advantage with Porto winning dominant matches against Braga.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, maintaining full strength.
  • Match played at FC Porto's Estádio Do Dragão, which favors the home team given their strong home form.
  • FC Porto is motivated to assert dominance at home to secure a top position in the table, while Braga aims to upset but lacks the recent form to confidently challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Porto: -188, Braga: 500, Draw: 305 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread FC Porto -1: -108, Braga +1: -112 FC Porto -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win (Moneyline), FC Porto -1 spread, Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Arouca vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

Arouca hosts Moreirense FC in a Portugal Primeira Liga matchup featuring two teams with mixed recent performances and a closely contested head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are in poor recent form; Arouca has a weak home record with only 1 home win and several draws and losses, while Moreirense has managed 1 win in their last 4 away games, indicating inconsistent form.
  • Moreirense leads the recent head-to-head with 9 wins compared to Arouca's 7 in their past 18 meetings, but the margin is narrow and includes many draws, showing a fairly balanced rivalry.
  • No specific injury updates available; assume key players are generally available, but last-minute check is recommended.
  • The game is at Arouca’s home stadium which typically provides advantage, but recent home form undermines this; no unusual external factors noted.
  • Both sides need points to improve their league positions, but Moreirense's slightly better away form and past success may provide marginal psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +155, Moreirense FC: +176, Draw: +225 Moreirense FC ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Arouca: 0 -120, Moreirense FC: 0 +100 Moreirense FC +0 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Moreirense FC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Vila das Aves

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD faces Tondela in a Primeira Liga clash with both teams struggling for consistency. AVS is winless in their last five matches, while Tondela has shown modest improvement but remains vulnerable. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with both sides lacking attacking firepower and defensive solidity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has lost five consecutive matches across all competitions, indicating poor form and low confidence. Tondela has won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Both teams have struggled to score and have conceded regularly.
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but previous encounters suggest closely contested matches with low scoring. Neither team has dominated the other recently.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, but both squads have depth issues, especially in attacking positions.
  • AVS is at home, but their home form is poor. Tondela travels with a compact squad and may be fatigued from recent fixtures. Weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
  • Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, adding pressure. AVS needs a win to boost morale, while Tondela seeks to consolidate their position above the drop zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 210, away: 134, draw: 215 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -122, away: 102 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tondela to win or draw is the highest EV play, but for a single outcome, Tondela is favored due to better recent form and AVS's poor run.

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0-1 Tondela


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Vitória SC vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica are dominant favorites given their strong away form and historical superiority over Vitória SC. Vitória SC have shown resilience at home but struggle against top clubs like Benfica. Both teams have attacking potential, and the match could see goals from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica are undefeated in their last 4 away Primeira Liga matches with 3 wins and 1 draw, sitting 3rd in the table with 21 points. Vitória SC are mid-table (11th) with mixed recent form, scoring and conceding regularly at home.
  • Benfica have dominated with 35 wins in 49 clashes versus Vitória SC's 6, including a 3-0 away win on their last meeting on 19 April 2025. Recent meetings favor Benfica with 67% win rate.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that significantly impact starting XI or key players for this fixture.
  • Benfica's motivation to maintain top table position and secure European qualification contrasts with Vitória SC's aim to climb mid-table, possibly increasing Benfica's intensity.
  • Benfica are motivated to extend their unbeaten away run and capitalize on Vitória SC's inconsistency, while Vitória SC seek points to improve standing but face tough opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -220, Vitória SC: 500, Draw: 365 Benfica ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Benfica -1.25: 102, Vitória SC +1.25: -122 Vitória SC +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Benfica; Spread: Vitória SC +1.25; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: Benfica 3 – 1 Vitória SC


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Rio Ave FC vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do Rio Ave

Game Overview

Rio Ave FC hosts Estoril in a tightly contested Primeira Liga fixture. Both teams are in mid-table form, with Rio Ave showing solid home resilience and Estoril struggling for consistency on the road. Recent head-to-head matches have been close, and both sides are motivated to climb the standings. Injuries to key Estoril players and Rio Ave's strong home record tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 5 matches and drawn several others, maintaining a solid home record. Estoril has been inconsistent, alternating losses with occasional wins and currently sits just above the relegation zone. Rio Ave averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match, while Estoril averages 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per away match.
  • In 28 official meetings, Rio Ave has 14 wins, Estoril 8, and 6 draws. The last match ended 2-1 to Rio Ave. The average total goals per match in H2H is 2.79, with a slight edge to Rio Ave at home.
  • Estoril is missing Sanchez, Xeka, and Guitane due to injuries, weakening their attacking options. Rio Ave has no major suspensions or injuries reported.
  • Rio Ave has conceded in 17 of their last 19 home games, indicating vulnerability at the back. Estoril is likely to adopt a cautious approach given their injury crisis and Rio Ave's home strength.
  • Both teams are eager to climb the table, but Rio Ave has a slight edge in motivation as they look to extend their unbeaten home run and push for a top-half finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 146, away: 195, draw: 215 Rio Ave FC Not available
Spread home: -134, away: 112 Rio Ave FC 0 Not available
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave FC to win the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Nacional vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

A tightly contested Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Famalicão, with Famalicão in better recent form but Nacional holding home advantage. Expect a competitive match likely decided by narrow margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão are unbeaten in their last five matches and regarded as favorites, showing consistent defensive resilience but less prolific attack. Nacional have struggled somewhat at home with one win and three losses in four matches, though they have shown fighting spirit in recent games.
  • Slight edge to Nacional at home with 3 wins in 6 matches between the sides. Last official fixture ended 2-1 to Nacional. Average goals per match historically high around 2.8, with both sides showing offensive capabilities.
  • No significant injury updates reported affecting key players for either side, maintaining full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Nacional's home ground which can boost their motivation. No unusual external disruptions identified.
  • Nacional motivated to secure points to improve home record and league standing, while Famalicão aiming to extend unbeaten streak and capitalize on momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão +128, Nacional +210, Draw +230 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Famalicão -0.25 -102, Nacional +25 -118 Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -125, Under 2.25 +105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Famalicão win; Spread: Famalicão -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, a top-tier Primeira Liga side with solid recent form and home advantage, faces Alverca, a lower-ranked team with mixed recent results and a heavy recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon holds strong form, including a 3-0 away win at Tondela and a 2-1 home win versus Marseille in the Champions League, demonstrating good offensive and defensive balance. Alverca suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Gil Vicente but managed some wins earlier in the season.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon holds a superior record (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) versus Alverca across multiple meetings, but Sporting has not won the last official match at home, losing 0-2 to Alverca recently. However, Sporting's squad quality and overall performances remain stronger.
  • Sporting Lisbon has key injuries with Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos doubtful due to cruciate ligament issues, but overall squad depth mitigates impact. No notable injury data reported for Alverca.
  • Match at Sporting's home ground with favorable conditions; psychological edge due to recent Champions League successes. No significant external disruptions noted.
  • Sporting Lisbon highly motivated to maintain domestic league dominance and recover from previous cup loss to Alverca by leveraging squad strength at home. Alverca’s motivation is to secure points but recent heavy loss impacts confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -1028, Alverca: 1971, Draw: 896 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -2.5: -114, Alverca +2.5: -116 Sporting Lisbon -2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: -109, Under 3.5: -121 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on moneyline and cover the -2.5 spread; game likely to be moderately high scoring but under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Moreirense FC vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-27
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC hosts FC Porto in the Primeira Liga, where Porto is strongly favored due to their superior form and head-to-head record. Moreirense has shown recent improvement in home matches, winning four consecutively, while Porto remains unbeaten in their last few away games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto is in excellent form, currently leading the Primeira Liga, while Moreirense ranks fifth. Porto has a significantly better goal-scoring record, averaging 2.38 goals per game compared to Moreirense's 1.5.
  • In their past 27 meetings, Porto has won 21 times, with Moreirense winning twice. However, Moreirense has shown resilience in recent home games.
  • FC Porto has injuries to Nehuén Pérez and Luuk de Jong, which could impact their performance. Moreirense has no reported absentees.
  • The match's importance for both teams varies, but Porto's motivation to maintain their lead and secure a UEFA Champions League spot remains high.
  • FC Porto is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their top spot, while Moreirense aims to continue their home winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -340 (FC Porto), 875 (Moreirense FC), 435 (Draw) FC Porto ★★★★☆ 86%
Spread -1.5 -102 (FC Porto), 1.5 -118 (Moreirense FC) FC Porto -1.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.75 +102, Under 2.75 -122 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win, over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: FC Porto 3-1 Moreirense FC


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Braga vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Braga vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga match pits Sporting Braga against Casa Pia. Braga is currently in the 8th position, while Casa Pia is in the 14th. Braga has a strong head-to-head record against Casa Pia but has struggled in recent matches against them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has been inconsistent but generally stronger than Casa Pia in league form. Casa Pia has experienced mixed results, winning two away games but struggling overall.
  • Historically, Braga has won four out of eight matches against Casa Pia, but Casa Pia has won the last two encounters.
  • Braga has players injured, including Jonatas Noro and Mario Dorgeles. Casa Pia has Claudio Mendes, Kelian Wa Saka, Kiki, and Ricardo Batista injured.
  • Home advantage often plays a significant role in Portuguese football, and Braga's fans can be a formidable force.
  • Both teams are motivated; Braga to maintain their position and Casa Pia to escape relegation zone pressures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -245, 675, 345 Braga ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -1.25 -102, 1.25 -118 Braga -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under 2.5 -108, 2.5 -112 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win but with a cautious approach due to their inconsistency and Casa Pia's recent success.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Braga win


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