Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Paris FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Louis II
Game Overview
AS Monaco, currently second in Ligue 1 and unbeaten in 13 home league games, faces Paris FC, who are winless in their last three and have defensive vulnerabilities. Monaco’s recent form is strong, with back-to-back wins and a prolific attack, while Paris FC struggles away from home and faces a defensive injury crisis.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monaco are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last six matches and scoring freely, including a 5-3 win over Nantes. Paris FC have conceded in nine of their last ten league games and are winless in three, with a poor away record.
- No recent H2H data is available, but Monaco’s home dominance and Paris FC’s lack of success on the road heavily favor the hosts.
- Monaco are missing several key players, including Caio Henrique, Lamine Camara, Eric Dier, Lukas Hradecky, Vanderson, Denis Zakaria, and Christian Mawissa is questionable. Paris FC are missing Thibault De Smet (suspended) and Alakouch, Cafaro, Hamel, Lopez, and Sangui (injured), severely weakening their defense.
- Monaco’s home form is exceptional, remaining unbeaten at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 this calendar year. Paris FC’s travel record is poor, and their injury list is extensive.
- Monaco are aiming to overtake PSG for the top position, while Paris FC are fighting to avoid relegation and lack the motivation and quality to challenge Monaco at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -149, away: 330, draw: 330 | AS Monaco | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -0.75 -118, away: 75 -102 | AS Monaco -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: 3.25 -110, under: 3.25 -110 | Over 3.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco to win, Over 3.25 goals, Monaco -0.75
Predicted Score: Monaco 3-1 Paris FC