Match Analysis: Ion Surdu vs Andrej Kalasnik – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: OKTAGON 79
Game Overview
Ion Surdu, favored due to his aggressive striking and knockout power, faces Andrej Kalasnik, a skilled grappler emphasizing ground control. Surdu’s experience and finishing ability contrast Kalasnik’s tendency to control tempo via grappling, setting a classic striker vs. grappler matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Surdu’s recent form shows consistent aggression and the ability to finish fights early, while Kalasnik relies more on endurance and grappling dominance but lacks recent KO power.
- No recorded previous head-to-head matchups exist between Surdu and Kalasnik.
- No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both are likely at full health.
- The bout is held at OKTAGON 79, with no significant external disruptions or unusual travel considerations reported for either fighter.
- Surdu appears highly motivated to solidify his standing with a decisive win, while Kalasnik may focus on extending the fight towards decision, leveraging his grappling.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ion Surdu: -350, Andrej Kalasnik: +225 | Ion Surdu | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Surdu -1.5 rounds: -140, Kalasnik +1.5 rounds: +120 | Surdu -1.5 rounds (win before halfway through round 2 recommended line equivalent) | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -125, Under 1.5 rounds: +105 | Under 1.5 rounds (fight ends early) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ion Surdu -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ion Surdu at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ion Surdu to win by knockout or TKO within three rounds.
Predicted Score: Ion Surdu wins by KO/TKO round 2