Match Analysis: Ion Surdu vs Andrej Kalasnik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: OKTAGON 79

Game Overview

Ion Surdu, favored due to his aggressive striking and knockout power, faces Andrej Kalasnik, a skilled grappler emphasizing ground control. Surdu’s experience and finishing ability contrast Kalasnik’s tendency to control tempo via grappling, setting a classic striker vs. grappler matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Surdu’s recent form shows consistent aggression and the ability to finish fights early, while Kalasnik relies more on endurance and grappling dominance but lacks recent KO power.
• No recorded previous head-to-head matchups exist between Surdu and Kalasnik.
• No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout, indicating both are likely at full health.
• The bout is held at OKTAGON 79, with no significant external disruptions or unusual travel considerations reported for either fighter.
• Surdu appears highly motivated to solidify his standing with a decisive win, while Kalasnik may focus on extending the fight towards decision, leveraging his grappling.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ion Surdu: -350, Andrej Kalasnik: +225	Ion Surdu	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Surdu -1.5 rounds: -140, Kalasnik +1.5 rounds: +120	Surdu -1.5 rounds (win before halfway through round 2 recommended line equivalent)	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -125, Under 1.5 rounds: +105	Under 1.5 rounds (fight ends early)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ion Surdu -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ion Surdu at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ion Surdu to win by knockout or TKO within three rounds.

Predicted Score: Ion Surdu wins by KO/TKO round 2

Match Analysis: Janaina Silva vs Monika Chochlíková – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-31
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Miami, FL (Karate Combat 57)

Game Overview

This MMA matchup features Janaina Silva, a grappling specialist, against Monika Chochlíková, a striking expert. Silva tends to perform strongly when controlling the fight on the ground, while Chochlíková relies on stand-up striking to dominate. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds at catchweight, with Chochlíková favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

• Silva's recent form shows improvement in grappling exchanges, but she has faced difficulties against strong strikers. Chochlíková has demonstrated consistent striking ability and better recent finishes, likely influencing the odds.
• No prior head-to-head matchup found, so direct historical data is unavailable. Style contrast is the main analytical basis.
• No significant injury reports or physical setbacks publicly known for either fighter leading into this bout.
• The event taking place in Miami, a neutral venue, limits home crowd advantage; both fighters appear motivated for a career-defining win in a high-profile Karate Combat event.
• Chochlíková appears slightly more motivated due to favored status and striking confidence, while Silva aims to leverage her grappling skill to cause an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Janaina Silva: 150, Monika Chochlíková: -175	Monika Chochlíková	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Chochlíková -1.5 rounds: -120, Silva +1.5 rounds: +100	Monika Chochlíková -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Monika Chochlíková -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Monika Chochlíková at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Monika Chochlíková to win straight-up on moneyline

Predicted Score: Monika Chochlíková wins by decision or late finish (round 3 or later)

Match Analysis: Rafael Alves vs Luis Pena – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-31
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: N/A

Game Overview

Karate Combat 57 main card bout between lightweight veteran Rafael Alves and Luis 'Violent Bob Ross' Pena, two experienced fighters shifting from traditional MMA to Karate Combat rules.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alves has been favored in bookmaker odds across major platforms, suggesting superior recent form and market confidence. Pena, while experienced, is a consistent underdog in this matchup[1][2][3].
• No prior H2H meeting between Alves and Pena in MMA or Karate Combat, making this a fresh matchup.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
• Pena's past legal issues and inconsistent performances outside the cage may impact his focus, while Alves has shown continued activity and adaptability.
• Alves likely seeks to establish himself as a top contender in Karate Combat. Pena aims to rejuvenate his career after previous setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alves -400, Pena +300	Alves	★★★★☆ 80%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rafael Alves -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rafael Alves at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Alves dominates on the feet, exploiting the Karate Combat format to outpoint Luis Pena and cash as a moderate favorite.

Predicted Score: Alves by unanimous decision

Match Analysis: Andre Ewell vs Weber Almeida – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-31
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Karate Combat 57 Event Venue (Unknown exact location)

Game Overview

This Karate Combat 57 matchup features Weber Almeida, the favored tactician with strong recent form and a consistent winning approach, going against Andre Ewell, who has struggled with recent losses and lacks momentum. Almeida is heavily favored on the moneyline reflecting his ability to control the fight tempo and survive danger while capitalizing later.

Key Factors to Consider

• Weber Almeida demonstrates consistent performance with an 80% implied win probability, known for tactical fighting and survivability. Andre Ewell has lost his last three bouts, including a recent swift TKO loss, indicating poor recent form.
• No known direct head-to-head matchups, but Almeida's style and results give him a clear edge over Ewell's declining trajectory.
• No reported injuries currently affecting either fighter; both appear physically ready.
• The event's timing and location appear neutral, with no reported external motivational factors favoring either fighter beyond fight importance.
• Almeida's motivation to maintain unbeaten momentum in Karate Combat contrasts with Ewell's need to break recent losing streak; Almeida’s recent resilience and strategic approach suggest superior fight IQ and motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Andre Ewell: +250, Weber Almeida: -325	Weber Almeida	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Weber Almeida -1.25: -125	Weber Almeida -1.25 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Weber Almeida -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Weber Almeida at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Weber Almeida to win by decision

Predicted Score: Weber Almeida wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Markus Perez vs Uriah Hall – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-31
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Miami, Florida

Game Overview

Karate Combat 57 features a high-stakes MMA crossover between Markus Perez and Uriah Hall, both UFC veterans, on Halloween night in Miami. Hall, known for explosive knockout power, debuts as the betting favorite, while Perez brings unpredictability and solid grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

• Uriah Hall boasts significant striking power and experience in high-profile bouts, including the UFC, while Markus Perez has shown a lower tier of consistency but dangerous unpredictability and versatility. Hall's last few years have been inconsistent, however, and he is returning from a layoff.
• No prior head-to-head history.
• No reports of injuries for either fighter.
• Hall debuting in Karate Combat rule set could add uncertainty, but MMA experience likely to be edge; event held on Halloween night in Miami—possibly higher motivation/energy.
• Hall is expected to be highly motivated for a strong debut in a new promotion. Perez may feel pressure to prove himself against a bigger name.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 165, away: -190	Uriah Hall (Away)	★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Uriah Hall -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Uriah Hall at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uriah Hall should be favored, but Perez is live for an upset given Hall’s layoff and occasional inconsistencies. High likelihood of a decisive finish, but if it goes to the late rounds, Perez’s grappling could become a factor.

Predicted Score: Uriah Hall by T/KO, Round 2

Match Analysis: Islam Makhachev vs Ilia Topuria – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-26
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: TBD

Game Overview

Islam Makhachev, the reigning UFC Lightweight champion, faces rising contender Ilia Topuria in a high-profile bout. Makhachev is favored due to his superior grappling, experience, and recent dominant performances, while Topuria is known for his striking power and finishing ability but has yet to face a top-tier grappler of Makhachev's caliber.

Key Factors to Consider

• Makhachev has been on a winning streak with decisive submissions and control fights, showing improved striking and conditioning. Topuria has also amassed impressive wins, mostly via knockouts, but against generally less elite competition.
• No previous direct matchup exists between Makhachev and Topuria, making styles and recent form the main prediction drivers.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter limiting their preparation.
• Fight location and venue details are unavailable, so no significant external influences identified. Both fighters appear well-prepared.
• Makhachev is motivated to defend his title against a dangerous challenger, while Topuria seeks to prove himself by dethroning the champion and elevating his status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Islam Makhachev: -180, Ilia Topuria: +155	Islam Makhachev	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Makhachev -1.5 rounds: -150, Topuria +1.5 rounds: +130	Makhachev -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: +120, Under 3.5 rounds: -140	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Islam Makhachev -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Makhachev at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Islam Makhachev to win by decision

Predicted Score: Makhachev wins by decision after 5 rounds

Match Analysis: Kevin Natividad vs Ryan Kuse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 25, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

Kevin Natividad and Ryan Kuse are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA matchup. With Kuse favored at -135, Natividad is listed as the underdog at +105.

Key Factors to Consider

• Recent form data is not specified, but traditional MMA metrics such as past performance and win-loss records are often crucial. Kuse has shown strong odds in previous fights, indicating a consistent performance.
• No head-to-head data is available, making this a fresh matchup with no prior history.
• No injury reports are mentioned, which could be a significant factor in MMA.
• External factors like motivation and venue could influence the fight, but specific details are not provided.
• Motivation to win is typically high in MMA bouts, but specific factors are not detailed.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Natividad: +105, Ryan Kuse: -135	Ryan Kuse	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ryan Kuse -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ryan Kuse at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Kuse is predicted to win due to being favored by the bookmakers.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA

Match Analysis: Chance Ikei vs Jordan Burkholder – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arizona Financial Theatre, Phoenix, Arizona, United States

Game Overview

Chance Ikei, a strong favorite with significant experience at bantamweight, faces Jordan Burkholder who poses an upset threat with solid grappling skills. The matchup features a blend of Ikei's wrestling and striking against Burkholder's resilience and submission attempts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chance Ikei has demonstrated consistent recent form with a series of wins emphasizing control and striking precision. Jordan Burkholder has shown competitive grit but with more volatility and fewer recent wins at this level.
• No direct previous matchups between Chance Ikei and Jordan Burkholder, creating uncertainty but favoring the more experienced Ikei.
• No reported injuries for either fighter that would materially impact performance, indicating both are likely at full strength.
• Fight taking place at a neutral venue with no evident external influences such as home crowd advantage or travel issues affecting either fighter.
• Ikei, as the favored contender, likely highly motivated to maintain status and push towards bigger promotions; Burkholder motivated to spoil the favorite and build career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chance Ikei: -375, Jordan Burkholder: +260	Chance Ikei	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Chance Ikei -1.5: -165, Jordan Burkholder +1.5: +135	Chance Ikei -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chance Ikei -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chance Ikei at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chance Ikei to win by decision

Predicted Score: Chance Ikei wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Kasey Tanner vs Michael Cyr – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: LFA 220, Phoenix, Arizona

Game Overview

Main event bantamweight (135 lbs) fight in LFA 220 featuring Kasey Tanner vs Michael Cyr, a 5-round matchup with significant betting interest and contrasting career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kasey Tanner has demonstrated superior recent form with consistent wins against top contenders in the bantamweight division, showing strong striking and takedown defense. Michael Cyr, while skilled, has been less consistent with losses in his recent fights and some gaps in cardio endurance.
• No direct head-to-head matchups exist between Tanner and Cyr, making tactical and stylistic analysis crucial.
• No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the match, both appear fully prepared and healthy.
• Fight takes place in Phoenix, Arizona, with no known travel or acclimatization disadvantages for either fighter. Both have had adequate training camps.
• Kasey Tanner is highly motivated to cement himself as the next top bantamweight in LFA, possibly eyeing a UFC contract soon. Michael Cyr is motivated to rebound and reestablish his standing but has more to prove after recent setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kasey Tanner: -600, Michael Cyr: 375	Kasey Tanner	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Tanner -1.5 rounds: -150, Cyr +1.5 rounds: 130	Tanner -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: +110, Under 3.5 rounds: -130	Over 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kasey Tanner -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kasey Tanner at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Kasey Tanner; Spread: Tanner -1.5 rounds; Over 3.5 rounds for total fight duration

Predicted Score: Kasey Tanner wins by decision after 5 rounds