Match Analysis: Charlton Athletic vs Swansea City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Charlton Athletic Home Stadium
Game Overview
A Championship clash between 6th place Charlton Athletic, recently promoted and in solid form, and 13th place Swansea City who have mixed away results but a recent morale-boosting win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlton has accumulated 7 points in their last 3 matches undefeated, indicating good momentum under manager Nathan Jones. Swansea have had patchy away form but won last outing 2-1 against Norwich, ending a three-match poor run.
- Recent H2H meetings show a competitive balance with Charlton slightly favored at home, but Swansea capable of scoring and edging close results.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups.
- Match at Charlton's home ground with moderate pressure as Charlton pushes towards playoff positions; Swansea mid-table with less playoff urgency.
- Charlton motivated to capitalize on home advantage and maintain upward trajectory, while Swansea aims to build consistency away to climb the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +107 | Charlton Athletic | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | -0.25 -122 | Charlton Athletic -0.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Under 2.25 -125 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlton Athletic 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlton Athletic moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-1