Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
Game Overview
FC St. Pauli hosts Borussia Monchengladbach in a Bundesliga clash featuring two teams with recent struggles; St. Pauli have a strong home record and a chance to capitalize, while Gladbach has been inconsistent away and suffered recent defeats.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Pauli has lost their last five league games but show resilience with a recent penalty shootout win in the DFB-Pokal. Borussia Monchengladbach suffered back-to-back defeats including a 3-0 loss to Bayern Munich and limited attacking output in recent matches.
- Recent meetings have been competitive and close, with a 1-1 draw in the last encounter. The historical balance leans slightly towards St. Pauli owing to their home advantage and tactical solidity.
- No critical injury reports severely impacting either side have been noted in available data, suggesting mostly full-strength squads.
- Playing at Millerntor-Stadion gives St. Pauli a strong home crowd boost. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral without adverse impact.
- St. Pauli are motivated to break their losing streak and secure valuable points to avoid the relegation zone, while Gladbach seeks to stabilize form after recent setbacks, aiming for a tactical counterattack approach.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC St. Pauli: +118, Borussia Monchengladbach: +230, Draw: +245 | FC St. Pauli | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | FC St. Pauli -0.25: -115, Borussia Monchengladbach +25: -105 | FC St. Pauli -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC St. Pauli 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC St. Pauli to win
Predicted Score: 1-0