Match Analysis: Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: PHX Arena, Phoenix, Arizona
Game Overview
The Phoenix Suns (1-4) host the Utah Jazz (2-2) with the Suns favored by 3.5 points. Both teams show recent struggles but the Suns are seeking to snap a four-game losing streak, while the Jazz come off a 13-losses-in-16-games slump with better health and a recent head-to-head win over Phoenix.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Suns have struggled early this season with a 1-4 record, losing four straight games and showing offensive inconsistency beyond Devin Booker. Utah stands at 2-2 but has been competitive, averaging 126.3 points and shooting 46.8% overall, despite their long-term losing trend.
- Utah beat Phoenix 136-134 recently and has been strong ATS (Against The Spread) this season at 4-0. Phoenix has won 9 of the last 10 meetings historically, but their recent form and Utahβs home win surge add complexity.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Suns notable absences of Brooks and Green still impact depth, whereas Jazz are healthy and led by Lauri Markkanenβs 34 PPG and Keyonte George's 22.3 PPG.
- Game is at Phoenix home court, which tends to give Suns advantage. However, recent poor Phoenix form and Utah being the healthier team neutralize some of that edge.
- Suns have strong motivation to end their losing streak in front of home fans, while Jazz want to build on their head-to-head confidence and recent ATS success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns -155, Utah Jazz +130 | Utah Jazz | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Phoenix Suns -3.5 -102, Utah Jazz +3.5 -118 | Phoenix Suns -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 237.5 -110, Under 237.5 -110 | Over 237.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Jazz 31% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 237.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Utah Jazz at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take Utah Jazz on the Moneyline, Phoenix Suns to cover the -3.5 spread, and expect the total points to go Over 237.5.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 120 – Utah Jazz 119