Match Analysis: Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hershey Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-31
- Time: 11:05 PM UTC
- Location: Hershey Bears home arena
Game Overview
A tightly contested AHL matchup between the Springfield Thunderbirds and Hershey Bears, both teams showing competitive form but with slight advantages favoring the Bears in recent performance and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hershey Bears hold a slightly better record and form compared to Springfield. Bears are mid-table (6th place), having won more games in recent fixtures, while Springfield shows struggles with fewer wins and a 1-5 record in recent matches.
- Recent head-to-head encounters show a balanced competition, but Hershey Bears have a slight edge with better results at home and slightly superior goal differential in the latest season series.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would impact lineups critically; rosters appear near full strength.
- Game played in Hershey giving Bears a home advantage. Both teams travel similarly, neutral external factors otherwise.
- Hershey Bears are motivated to maintain position in the top half of the standings; Springfield is fighting to improve form but under pressure from recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -120, away: -110 | Hershey Bears | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | home: 210, away: -285 | Springfield Thunderbirds +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -120 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Springfield Thunderbirds 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Hershey Bears to win; Spread: Springfield Thunderbirds +1.5; Over/Under: Under 5.5 goals
Predicted Score: Hershey Bears 3 – 2 Springfield Thunderbirds