Match Analysis: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 31, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, Louisiana
Game Overview
CUSA conference matchup between Louisiana Tech (4-3, middling) and winless Sam Houston (0-7). Bulldogs are heavy favorites at home; Bearkats are struggling on both sides of the ball and are outmatched in all key metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- LA Tech ranks below average offensively (pass: 108th, rush: 82nd, points: 102nd) but has a strong rushing defense (22nd, yielding just 107.4 YPG, points allowed: 23rd). Sam Houston averages 12.3 points per game and is winless, indicating severe issues on both offense and defense.
- No direct head-to-head data provided, but current form significantly favors Louisiana Tech, which is competitive in a weak CUSA while Sam Houston is clearly the conferenceβs worst team.
- No injury data available.
- No significant weather or travel concerns reported; Bulldogs playing at home, which typically provides a moderate edge.
- Louisiana Tech is chasing bowl eligibility and aiming for a .500 or better record. Sam Houston is searching for their first win in a dismal season, but lacks the firepower to threaten here.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | LA Tech -800, Sam Houston 550 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | LA Tech -16.5 -112, Sam Houston 16.5 -108 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -16.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 49.5 -105, Under 49.5 -115 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisiana Tech wins big at home, covering the spread, and the total goes under given team defensive tendencies and Sam Houstonβs inability to score.
Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech 31, Sam Houston State 10