Match Analysis: Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 11:10 PM UTC
- Location: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Game Overview
Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1, 3-game win streak, #3 East) at Boston Celtics (1-3, #13 East). Cavaliers are road favorites, Celtics seeking rare home win amid slow start. ESPN coverage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cavaliers are hotter, trending up with a three-game win streak. Celtics are struggling, sitting 13th in the East with only one win in four games. Cavs 2-1 away; Celtics 0-1 at home.
- Last season, Cavaliers won 2 of 3, including a win in Boston. Last two meetings settled by 5 and 4 points, close but Cleveland edge. Celtics historically defend the spread less as underdogs (1-1 as +4.5 or more last season).
- No major injuries reported in available data; assume both teams at close to full strength.
- Early season, home support for Celtics may be a factor, but team is underperforming. No unusual travel or scheduling issues.
- Cavaliers motivated to extend win streak and keep pace in East. Celtics desperate to stop the slide and get first home win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston: +142, Cleveland: -168 | Cleveland Cavaliers | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Boston +3 (-106), Cleveland -3 (-114) | Cleveland Cavaliers -3 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 233.5 (-110), Under 233.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland Cavaliers -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 233.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 233.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cavaliers win on the road, but not in a blowout. Celtics keep it close, but Clevelandβs superior form and recent H2H edge prevail.
Predicted Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Boston Celtics 113