Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
This matchup between Fluminense and Ceará presents Fluminense with a home advantage, having won 60% of their last 10 home games. Ceará has shown competitive form away from home but lacks consistency compared to Fluminense. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with historical trends favoring fewer than 2.5 goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fluminense holds a strong home record, winning 6 of their last 10 matches. Ceará has struggled on the road, winning only 3 of their last 10 away games.
- Historical head-to-head data is not explicitly provided, but recent form suggests Fluminense has an edge.
- No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
- Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with a temperature of around 21°C, which should not significantly impact the game.
- Fluminense's strong home form and Ceará's inconsistent away performances may influence the teams' motivation, with Fluminense likely to be more confident.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ceará: 500, Fluminense: -172, Draw: 270 | Fluminense | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Ceará: +75 108, Fluminense: -0.75 -128 | Fluminense -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fluminense -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 44% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fluminense to win, under 2.5 goals, and the spread favoring Fluminense.
Predicted Score: 1-0 to Fluminense