Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Game Overview
Inter Milan hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A matchup with both teams showing strong but contrasting form. Inter is favored given home advantage and historical dominance, but Fiorentina's recent 3-0 win over Inter in February indicates potential for an upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Milan has a strong Serie A record with 15 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses and 51 points, performing well at home. Fiorentina has 12 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses and 42 points, showing resilience and capable attack with 1.8 goals per match recently.
- Inter dominates historically with 29 wins in 47 matches since 2004, Fiorentina won 9 times and 9 draws. Last encounter saw Fiorentina winning 3-0, but Inter won the reverse fixture 2-1.
- No key injury reports publicly available that significantly affect either team.
- Inter plays at home in their iconic stadium. No adverse weather or scheduling issues impacting the match are known.
- Inter seeks to confirm dominance and reclaim league momentum after recent defeat to Fiorentina. Fiorentina motivated by recent big win and to avoid slips in tough away matches.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Milan: -275, Fiorentina: 675, Draw: 420 | Inter Milan | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Inter Milan -1.5: 102, Fiorentina +1.5: -122 | Inter Milan -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Milan -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Milan to win on moneyline, Inter -1.5 on spread, Under 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1