Match Analysis: Olympiacos vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Peace And Friendship Stadium
Game Overview
Olympiacos hosts AS Monaco in a tightly contested Euroleague matchup where both teams have shown competitive form. While Monaco leads slightly in recent head-to-head wins, Olympiacos demonstrates stronger recent performance overall and a robust home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Olympiacos won 4 of their last 5 matches with a high scoring average (88 PPG) and solid defense (83 OPP PPG), covering the spread 80% of the time recently. Monaco remains undefeated in their last 5 (5-0) but has struggled against the spread (20% ATS).
- In the last 10 head-to-head games, Monaco leads 7-3, but Olympiacos won the most recent home encounters. The scoring margins are close averaging around 78 points per team with no clear dominance.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting their main rotations, suggesting full-strength lineups.
- The game is at Olympiacos’ home venue Peace And Friendship Stadium, a known fortress that boosts their confidence and performance.
- Olympiacos is motivated to maintain home dominance and respond to recent close losses against Monaco in neutral and away games; Monaco aims to extend their winning streak and assert Euroleague dominance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos -210, AS Monaco +165 | Olympiacos | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Olympiacos -5.5 -110, AS Monaco +5.5 -118 | Olympiacos -5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5 -110, Under 167.5 -110 | Over 167.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 167.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 167.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Olympiacos to win on the moneyline and cover the -5.5 spread, with the total points expected to go over 167.5.
Predicted Score: Olympiacos 86 – 79 AS Monaco