Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Brest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Océane
Game Overview
Le Havre hosts Brest in a Ligue 1 match both teams approach with similar overall records. Both teams stand with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses recently, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent form. The matchup is expected to be competitive with moderately high goal activity.
Key Factors to Consider
- Le Havre has shown slightly stronger home form with more games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Brest’s form is shaky with key attacking players able to exploit defensive weaknesses on both sides.
- Previous meetings are closely contested; no dominant trend emerges, emphasizing a tight matchup. Recent head-to-head does not clearly favor either side.
- No major confirmed injuries impacting starting lineups for either team, suggesting both can field near-full strength squads.
- No significant external factors such as weather or travel issues; both teams appear motivated and prepared for the midweek fixture.
- Le Havre has extra motivation playing at home trying to leverage crowd support to claim important points in Ligue 1; Brest fights to improve away results to climb the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre +166, Brest +166, Draw +220 | Le Havre | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Le Havre +50 -110, Brest -0.5 -110 | Le Havre +0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -102, Under 2.5 -118 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre 20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Le Havre at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Le Havre to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the match
Predicted Score: 2-1