Match Analysis: Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Flyers host the Pittsburgh Penguins in a notable NHL matchup. The Flyers currently have a 4-3-1 record with recent struggles, while the Penguins show stronger form at 6-2-1. The Flyers have shown resilience covering spreads, especially on the road, but have lost most of their last five games outright. The Penguins have been favored in odds and performance recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Penguins (6-2-1) have outperformed the Flyers (4-3-1) in recent form. Flyers lost 4 of last 5 games but covered 4 of 5 spreads, especially strong on the road ATS. Penguins show more consistent winning momentum and overall better scoring and defense balance.
- Recent head-to-head data favors Penguins slightly, with Flyers struggling to secure wins. Flyers are 3-0 ATS in Flyers' road games but are under pressure to break their losing streak.
- No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the game.
- Game is held at Flyers home arena; Flyers have had more OVERS in totals in their last 5 home games indicating a potential for higher scoring. Public betting is split evenly, suggesting balanced market sentiment.
- Penguins are pushing to maintain their strong start and reinforce top standings. Flyers are motivated to snap their losing streak and leverage home advantage to recover.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -127, away: 102 | Philadelphia Flyers Moneyline | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Flyers +1.5: +120, Penguins -1.5: -140 | Flyers +1.5 goals | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over 5: -110, under 5: -110 | Over 5 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Flyers 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Flyers at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers to win; Spread Prediction: Flyers +1.5 goals; Over/Under Prediction: Over 5 goals
Predicted Score: Flyers 4 – Penguins 3