Match Analysis: Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 8:25 PM UTC
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
Game Overview
The Denver Broncos (5-2, 3-0 home) host the Dallas Cowboys (3-3-1, 1-3 away) in a Week 8 NFL matchup. Denver is favored at home, but both teams have the ability to put up points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Denver is strong at home and has a better overall record. Dallas is coming off a dominant win vs. Washington but has been inconsistent, especially on the road. The Cowboys' pass game has been productive, led by Dak Prescott, but their defense has vulnerabilities.
- Recent head-to-head data not specified, but the Broncos' home form suggests an edge.
- No major injury updates provided.
- No notable external factors specified (weather, travel, etc.).
- Both teams are in playoff contention. Denver is seeking to maintain momentum for home-field advantage, while Dallas is looking to build consistency and potentially climb back into playoff position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cowboys: 154, Broncos: -185 | Denver Broncos (Win) | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Cowboys +3.5 (-115), Broncos -3.5 (-105) | Denver Broncos -3.5 (Cover) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 50.5 (-112), Under 50.5 (-108) | Under 50.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Broncos -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denver is favored at home and has shown more consistency, especially at Empower Field, but Dallas has offensive firepower that could exploit Denver’s defense in an up-tempo, high-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: Denver Broncos 27, Dallas Cowboys 23