Match Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 26, 2025
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: MHPArena
Game Overview
VfB Stuttgart is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 in a Bundesliga match on October 26, 2025. Stuttgart is in 3rd place with 15 points, while Mainz is in 16th place with just 4 points, struggling to avoid relegation. Stuttgart has maintained a perfect home record, making them favorites for this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stuttgart has been performing well at home with a perfect record, while Mainz has struggled across their recent games.
- Historical matchups favor Stuttgart, but Mainz has shown some attacking prowess.
- No significant injury updates are available, but Mainz's overall performance has been hampered by their inability to win consistently.
- The match's importance for both teams is high, especially for Mainz, who are fighting to avoid relegation.
- Stuttgart is motivated to maintain their strong league position, while Mainz needs a win to escape the relegation zone.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mainz +335, Stuttgart -138, Draw +310 | Stuttgart Win | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Mainz +75 -112, Stuttgart -0.75 -108 | Stuttgart -0.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3 -108, Under 3 -112 | Over 3 | β β β ββ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | VfB Stuttgart 161% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: VfB Stuttgart at 161% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stuttgart is expected to win, given their strong home form and Mainz's struggles.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Stuttgart