Match Analysis: Rennes vs Nice – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Roazhon Park, Rennes, France
Game Overview
Ligue 1 top-half clash between Rennes (home, slight betting favorite) and Nice (road, slight underdog), with recent forms showing Rennes' defensive solidity and the likelihood of a close, low-scoring encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rennes has shown defensive stability and home field advantage, with a recent 2-0 win over Nice as reference. Nice is inconsistent away from home and has struggled offensively in recent road fixtures.
- Recent meeting (10/05/2025): Rennes 2 – 0 Nice, indicating a strong home performance and tactical edge vs Nice. In previous recent encounters, Rennes has held the upper hand on their pitch (1-1 and 1-0 wins in last two home H2H).
- Both sides likely to field similar XIs as in previous matchupsβno major injury reports indicating significant absences for either side.
- Minimal weather or venue disruptions expected. Support at Roazhon Park historically gives Rennes a lift in close fixtures.
- Both teams are in European contention, with Rennes slightly more motivated after a recent home league stumble and wanting to cement a top-six spot. Nice continues to fight for Europa League qualification.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rennes +120, Nice +210, Draw +250 | Rennes | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Rennes -0.25 -108, Nice +25 -112 | Rennes -0.25 | β β β ββ 63% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rennes 12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rennes to win a tight, defensively oriented match, with a single goal proving decisive in a low-scoring game.
Predicted Score: 1 – 0 (Rennes)