Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: BayArena, Leverkusen, Germany
Game Overview
Bayer Leverkusen, playing at home in the Bundesliga, faces SC Freiburg. Leverkusen enters as the favorite with solid recent form and a strong home record, whereas Freiburg is competitive but generally weaker away. Both teams have shown propensity for goals, making this an intriguing matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bayer Leverkusen has been in strong form, winning 12 of their last 16 Sunday games and frequently producing high-scoring matches. Freiburg has had mixed results but remains a resilient opponent.
- Leverkusen holds a slight edge historically and at home against Freiburg, with recent encounters favoring Leverkusen in close matches.
- No significant injuries reported for either side at this time, implying both teams will field near full strength.
- Playing at home in the BayArena provides Leverkusen with strong fan support and familiar conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
- Leverkusen is motivated to maintain top-table position with a home win. Freiburg, midtable, aims to steal points to improve their standing but are underdogs in this away fixture.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bayer Leverkusen: -130, SC Freiburg: 325, Draw: 290 | Bayer Leverkusen | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Bayer Leverkusen -0.75: -102, SC Freiburg +75: -118 | Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bayer Leverkusen 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bayer Leverkusen to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, and the match to go over 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1