Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Cagliari – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Game Overview
Hellas Verona, winless but showing improvement, hosts Cagliari—who have been inconsistent but better positioned in the table. Both teams face key absences, but motivation is high for Verona to secure first win of the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Verona: 0-4-3 (last 7), desperate for a win; Cagliari: 2-2-3, 13th place, mixed form, poor away as underdogs[1][6]. Recent performances suggest Verona is becoming tougher to beat, despite results not yet reflecting form[3]. Cagliari struggles as an away underdog, with just 0-5-2 SU last 7 in this role[6].
- Recent H2H history not detailed in available data, but table suggests Cagliari slightly higher in form, yet both teams have defensive issues and attacking momentum is hard to discern.
- Verona: Suslov, Oyegoke, Bella-Kotchap out; Belghali returns. Cagliari: Pintus, Radunovic, Di Pardo out; Mina doubtful[3]. Both sides missing key defenders, raising questions about defensive stability.
- No major external factors reported. Home crowd advantage for Verona could be pivotal in a must-win scenario.
- Verona’s urgency for first win, especially at home, is a key psychological factor. Cagliari also needs points but may be more vulnerable away.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hellas Verona: 129 | Cagliari: 245 | Draw: 205 | Hellas Verona | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Hellas Verona: -0.25 (-108) | Hellas Verona -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
| Over/under | Over 2 (-120) | Under 2 ( 100) | Over 2 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hellas Verona -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Verona’s desperation, Cagliari’s road struggles as underdogs, and Verona’s improving performances set this up as a home breakthrough. Expect open, high-event football with both teams scoring, but Verona to edge it.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Hellas Verona[3]