Match Analysis: Torino vs Genoa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Game Overview
Torino and Genoa meet in a Serie A clash with Torino favored after recent strong home performances and a morale-boosting victory over Napoli, against a struggling Genoa side still winless this season and scoring very few goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Torino has shown resilience with wins against Roma and Napoli, though mostly against top teams, their form at home is promising. Genoa remains in poor form with no wins and just 3 goals in 7 matches, lacking a threat offensively.
- Recent head-to-head encounters favor Torino who tend to win or draw, while Genoa has struggled to score and create chances against Torino at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
- No significant injury updates affecting key players for either side have been noted, implying both teams are near full strength.
- The game is at Torinoβs home stadium, giving them a home advantage with strong local support. Genoaβs low morale and poor away record further intensify this.
- Both sides need points to climb the table, but Torinoβs recent win and mid-table positioning provide stronger confidence and motivation compared to Genoaβs relegation-threatened position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Torino: 128, Draw: 195, Genoa: 260 | Torino | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Torino -0.25: -108, Genoa +25: -112 | Torino -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2: 100, Under 2: -120 | Under 2 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Torino 30% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Torino at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Torino to Win; Spread: Torino -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0