Match Analysis: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Houston Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
Game Overview
The No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils (5-2) host the Houston Cougars (6-1) in a key Big 12 matchup. Arizona State enters as a 7-point favorite with a moneyline of -298, while Houston is the underdog at +240. The over/under is set at 46.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona State is 4-1 in their last 5 games, showing solid form especially at home. Houston enters with a strong 6-1 record but as an underdog on the road. Arizona State ranks better defensively, particularly against the run, while Houston's offense is competitive but less consistent against top ranked defenses.
- Recent matchups between these teams have been competitive but Arizona State has the slight edge. Both teams showed resilience in close wins recently (ASU 26-22 vs Texas Tech, Houston 31-28 vs Arizona).
- No major injury reports significantly impacting either starting offense or defense for both teams, indicating both are close to full strength.
- The game is at Arizona Stateβs home stadium with expected warm weather (81Β°F), favoring the home team used to these conditions. No rain or adverse weather is forecasted.
- Arizona State is motivated to secure a Big 12 win against the strong Houston Cougars to improve playoff prospects. Houston also highly motivated as a top-ranked team aiming to upset a higher-ranked opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State -298, Houston +240 | Arizona State | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Arizona State -7 (-112), Houston +7 (-108) | Arizona State -7 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 46.5 (-115), Under 46.5 (-105) | Over 46.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 46.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona State Sun Devils to cover the 7-point spread.
Predicted Score: Arizona State 30, Houston 21