Match Analysis: Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pride Park Stadium
Game Overview
Derby County hosts Queens Park Rangers in an EFL Championship match where QPR enters as the slightly favored side given their season form and recent performances away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Queens Park Rangers have shown stronger form this season compared to Derby County, who have struggled in recent matches including a tough loss to Norwich City on Oct 21. QPR's attack has been more consistent, increasing their likelihood to score first and more goals overall.
- Recent H2H indicates a trend favoring QPR with better overall results, especially in away fixtures at Derby County's ground.
- No critical absences reported for either side at this time, suggesting both teams will feature close to full strength.
- Playing at Derby’s home ground Pride Park could offer Derby some advantage, but their form and performance metrics diminish this benefit.
- QPR is motivated to climb the league table with consistent points haul, while Derby County is under pressure to improve results and avoid falling deeper into the relegation zone.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Derby County: +155, Queens Park Rangers: +174, Draw: +210 | Queens Park Rangers | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Derby County: -118, Queens Park Rangers: -102 | Derby County +0 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -116, Under 2.25: -104 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Queens Park Rangers 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Queens Park Rangers to win on the moneyline, Derby County +0 spread, and under 2.25 goals for over/under.
Predicted Score: 0-1