Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-24
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Game Overview
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats host the Ottawa Redblacks with Hamilton firmly positioned for the playoffs (9-6) while Ottawa is out of postseason contention. Hamilton enters on the back of a recent heavy loss but remains the superior team overall, while Ottawa looks to finish their season with pride.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hamilton Tiger-Cats have a strong 9-6 record, though their momentum was disrupted by a 40-3 loss last week. Ottawa Redblacks are eliminated from playoffs and have struggled with consistency throughout the season.
- Hamilton has dominated the season series against Ottawa. Recent meetings show Hamilton outplaying Ottawa comfortably with wide margins.
- No significant injury news for Hamilton that would severely impact performance; Ottawa lacks depth and key players have been sidelined throughout the season, weakening their competitiveness.
- Home field advantage heavily favors Hamilton playing at Tim Hortons Field. Weather expected to be typical for late October in Hamilton, unlikely to heavily impact gameplay.
- Hamilton is motivated to secure a strong position and momentum heading into playoffs. Ottawa is motivated to end their disappointing season on a positive note but lacks the incentive of postseason play.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1100, away: +680 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -14.5 -110, Ottawa Redblacks: +14.5 -110 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -14.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 52.5 -110, under: 52.5 -110 | Under 52.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win moneyline and cover the -14.5 spread, with the game going under the 52.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 10