Match Analysis: Calgary Flames vs Montréal Canadiens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-22
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome
Game Overview
Montréal Canadiens edge towards slight road favoritism despite Calgary Flames playing at home. Flames are mired in a six-game skid, while Canadiens are coming off consecutive road wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Canadiens have won two straight on the road and are in better form, outscoring opponents and getting quality goaltending. Flames are struggling, losing six in a row, with low goal production despite decent goaltending.
- In their most recent matchup, Flames narrowly took a 1-0 victory, but historical trends do not show a clear-cut H2H edge.
- No major injuries reported for key starters from either side based on available info.
- No major travel, rest, or weather issues. Both teams play on normal rest.
- Flames are desperate to end their skid at home, while Canadiens look to sustain momentum and climb standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flames -106, Canadiens -118 | Montréal Canadiens ML | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Flames +1.5 (-265), Canadiens -1.5 (210) | Flames +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 71% |
| Over/under | Over 6 (-103), Under 6 (-122) | Under 6 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Canadiens are better positioned to win this game, but Flames' home desperation and tight recent H2H suggest a close game with value on the underdog and under.
Predicted Score: Calgary Flames 2, Montréal Canadiens 3