Match Analysis: Bahia vs Internacional - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-22
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil
Game Overview
Bahia hosts Internacional in a Brasileirão Serie A clash where Bahia holds a stronger league position and home form advantage. Internacional struggles away and has a negative goal difference, while Bahia is solid at home with recent wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bahia is 6th with 46 points, strong home form (9W, 3D, 1L at home) including last two home wins; Internacional 14th with 35 points, poor away form, and a negative goal difference (-6).
- Recent H2H matches favor Bahia with more victories and better defensive record, especially at home.
- No significant absences reported for either side that could heavily impact the lineups or strategy.
- Match played at Bahia's home ground, favorable for home crowd support; no adverse weather or travel concerns reported.
- Bahia is motivated to consolidate a top-table position and push for continental spots; Internacional fights to avoid relegation, but poor away results lower confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia: 101, Internacional: 280, Draw: 230 | Bahia | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Bahia -0.5: 102, Internacional +50: -122 | Bahia -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia 27% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bahia to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go under 2.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0
This Pick Releases in 111 Minutes!
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