Match Analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs Middlesbrough – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-22
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield, England
Game Overview
Mid-table clash in the EFL Championship, with Middlesbrough (2nd) facing relegation-battlers Sheffield Wednesday (24th). Despite the table positions, recent meetings have been tightly contested, with Wednesday winning at home last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Middlesbrough are in excellent form, sitting 2nd in the league table, while Sheffield Wednesday are struggling near the bottom. Boroβs attack has been steadily consistent, while Wednesday have defensive vulnerabilities but have shown occasional resilience at home.
- Last 6 meetings: 2 Middlesbrough wins, 2 Sheffield Wednesday wins, 2 draws. Recent H2H shows both teams can win; last season Wednesday won 2-1 at home and drew 3-3 away[2][3].
- No specific injury updates available in the search results. Assume both teams are at near full strength given the lack of news.
- Sheffield Wednesday are at home, where they have occasionally overperformed against better teams. No other significant external factors identified (weather, suspensions, etc.).
- Middlesbrough are fighting for automatic promotion, while Sheffield Wednesday desperately need points for survival. Both teams are highly motivated, likely leading to an open, aggressive game.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Middlesbrough -135, Sheffield Wednesday 340, Draw 260 | Middlesbrough Moneyline | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Middlesbrough -0.75 (-107), Sheffield Wednesday +75 (-113) | Middlesbrough -0.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-109), Under 2.5 (-111) | Over 2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Middlesbrough -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a close game with both teams scoring, but Middlesbrough's superior form and squad should eventually tell against a spirited, but error-prone Sheffield Wednesday defense at home.
Predicted Score: Sheffield Wednesday 1 β Middlesbrough 2