Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-22
- Time: 6:05 PM UTC
- Location: Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Game Overview
Maccabi Tel Aviv faces Real Madrid in a high-profile Euroleague clash where Real Madrid enters as favorites with consistent historical dominance, though Maccabi has shown strong recent form and solid home performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Madrid has won 55% of matches this season but has a recent mixed form (2 wins, 3 losses), averaging 85 PPG. Maccabi Tel Aviv won 3 of last 5 games, scoring higher at 90.4 PPG and displaying strong defensive numbers conceding only 73.4 PPG.
- In 39 H2H games since 2006, Real Madrid leads with 24 wins compared to Maccabi's 15. Recent meetings have been close, with one notable Maccabi win 116-113 in January 2025, highlighting competitive intensity.
- No major injuries reported significantly impacting either roster, suggesting both teams will field their stars for this matchup.
- Playing at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a homecourt advantage. Neither team shows signs of external disruptions or motivation dips.
- Both teams lost their latest games, motivating strong performances. Maccabi aims to defend home turf; Real Madrid aims to reassert dominance and avoid a poor start to the season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Maccabi Tel Aviv: +166, Real Madrid: -205 | Real Madrid | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Maccabi Tel Aviv +4.5: -110, Real Madrid -4.5: -110 | Real Madrid -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 174.5: -116, Under 174.5: -106 | Under 174.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Madrid -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 174.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 174.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Madrid to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total points to go under 174.5
Predicted Score: Real Madrid 85 - Maccabi Tel Aviv 78
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