Match Analysis: Preston North End vs Birmingham City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-21
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Deepdale, Preston
Game Overview
Preston North End and Birmingham City meet in an EFL Championship clash with Preston in stronger recent form and more points from fewer matches, but Birmingham is seen as a slight betting favorite by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Preston North End sits 7th in the table (16 pts, 9 games, 4-4-1, +4 GD), showing solid defense and resilience. Birmingham City is 17th (12 pts, 9 games, 3-3-3, -3 GD), vulnerable away and inconsistent defensively[7].
- Historical meetings are typically tight, with both teams having periods of dominance. No detailed recent H2H included in data.
- No specific injury or suspension details available in current sources.
- No major weather, venue, or officiating factors reported; standard home/away dynamics apply.
- Preston is pushing for the playoff places, likely has strong motivation, while Birmingham is mid-table and may lack the same urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Preston 205, Birmingham 133, Draw 210 | Preston North End | β β βββ 48% |
Spread | Preston +25 (-120), Birmingham -0.25 (100) | Preston North End +0.25 | β β β ββ 54% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 (-101), Under 2.25 (-119) | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Preston North End 46% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Preston North End at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Preston North End to outperform expectations; value on the home win and under on goal total. Birmingham favored by market, but Preston has stronger underlying results and home advantage.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Preston North End