Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 19, 2025
- Time: 12:04 AM UTC
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Game Overview
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Seattle Mariners in Game 6 of the ALCS, with the Mariners leading the series 3-2. The Blue Jays look to force a Game 7, while the Mariners aim to clinch the series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto finished the regular season 94-68, with a strong home record of 54-27. Seattle, however, has shown resilience as underdogs, winning 23 of 45 games in such situations.
- Recent games have seen varied outcomes, with both teams experiencing wins and losses. The Mariners have had success covering the spread as underdogs.
- No significant injury updates appear to greatly impact either side.
- Home advantage could play a role for the Blue Jays, but the Mariners have shown they can win on the road.
- Both teams are highly motivated, but the Blue Jays need a win to extend their season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | away: 108, home: -126 | Seattle Mariners | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | away: +1.5 -200 is not the best odds for a spread pick; referring to the initially provided odds, Seattle is +168 to cover +1.5, and Toronto is -205, home: -1.5 164 | Toronto Blue Jays | β β β ββ 61% |
Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Over | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 7.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mariners win (moneyline), Blue Jays cover the spread (if available at better odds), and over 7.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6, Seattle Mariners 5