Match Analysis: Ceará vs Botafogo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Game Overview
Ceará and Botafogo face off in a closely matched Brasileirão Série A game with both teams showing moderate recent form. Ceará is at home, slightly favored, and both teams have similar win/draw/loss ratios in recent matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ceará has a 30% win rate, 40% draws, and 30% losses over the last 10 matches, showing a stable but not dominant form. Botafogo also mirrors similar results with 30% wins, 20% draws, and 50% losses, indicating slightly weaker recent form especially defensively.
- Recent head-to-head encounters have been balanced with marginal edges, neither team dominating substantially. Forma data shows mixed results without clear advantage.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting the starting lineup substantially.
- Home advantage slightly favors Ceará. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for the venue with no abnormal external disruptions expected.
- Both teams are mid-table motivated to secure points to improve standing, but Ceará has the slight edge playing at home and seeking to capitalize on home support.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Home: 188, Away: 168, Draw: 193 | Home | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | Botafogo 0: -118, Ceará 0: -102 | Ceará 0 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2: -110, Under 2: -110 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Ceará to win; Spread: Ceará +0; Over/Under: Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0