Match Analysis: Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
The Chicago Bears host the New Orleans Saints in Week 7 of the NFL season. The Bears enter the game with a 3-2 record and a recent three-game winning streak, while the Saints are struggling with a 1-5 record and a difficult road schedule.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Bears have shown resilience with three consecutive wins, boosted by a defense generating 11 takeaways in recent games. Their offense has been more consistent at home. The Saints have struggled both offensively and defensively with a 1-5 record, including tough away games.
- Recent head-to-head results favor the Bears, who have capitalized on turnovers and controlled the line of scrimmage against the Saints in past matchups.
- Saints face key defensive absences including LB Noah Sewell (concussion, out), DL Kairo Santos (thigh, out), and CB Isaac Yiadom hampered (questionable), weakening their defense. Bears have some questionable players like RB DβAndre Swift (groin) but no significant confirmed outs.
- Home-field advantage at Soldier Field benefits the Bears, with local crowd support and familiarity with conditions. The Saints are on the road for only their third away game this season, adding travel fatigue.
- Bears motivated to continue their winning streak and improve their home record. Saints desperate to snap a losing skid and prove resilience on the road but low confidence and injury issues pose challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Bears: -225, New Orleans Saints: 185 | Chicago Bears | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Chicago Bears -4.5: -115, New Orleans Saints +4.5: -105 | Chicago Bears -4.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 46.5: -110, Under 46.5: -110 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Bears 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Bears to win straight-up, cover the spread, and the game to stay under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Chicago Bears 23 – New Orleans Saints 14