Match Analysis: Levante vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Levante Home Stadium
Game Overview
Levante and Rayo Vallecano face off in a La Liga match where both sides have underwhelming recent league form, each with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses this season. Levante holds a slight league position advantage and a home field benefit.
Key Factors to Consider
- Levante have a 1-3 record in their last five matches but have performed moderately well against the spread both overall and on the road. Rayo Vallecano matches their 2-2-4 record but lacks home advantage and slightly less favorable recent form.
- Historically, the teams have been relatively evenly matched. Recent H2H data does not heavily favor either side, supporting a close contest.
- No major injury reports explicitly noted, implying both teams likely have their core squads available.
- Levante's home fixtures have trending high total goals (over 2.5 goals) in recent matches, indicating an open style of play here. Public betting leans slightly towards Levante.
- Levante’s motivation to secure points at home to climb the league table is likely higher, given their marginally better position and home advantage. Rayo Vallecano may be under more pressure but lack an edge in environment.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | levante: +184, rayo_vallecano: +154, draw: +246 | Levante | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | levante_0: +103, rayo_0: -123 | Levante +0 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | over_2.5: -103, under_2.5: -117 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Levante 36% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Levante at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Levante moneyline to win, with a moderately high confidence, and take the over 2.5 goals considering home scoring patterns and open style of both teams.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Levante