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Toulouse vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadium de Toulouse

Game Overview

Toulouse faces Metz in Ligue 1 at home, with Toulouse favored by the bookmakers to win and the goal total set at 2.5, suggesting a moderate-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toulouse has been stronger in recent form, with key attackers like Thijs Dallinga (5 goals in 16 games), Frank Magri, and Zakaria Aboukhlal contributing. Metz's attack is less prolific, led by Georges Mikautadze (3 goals) and Joel Asoro (14 games, 1 assist, 1 goal). Toulouse's attacking output, even offset by some inconsistency, still surpasses Metz's defense, which has struggled against better-attacking sides.
  • Recent H2H history is not detailed in the sources, but bookmaker probabilities have previously favored Toulouse in both home and away matchups, suggesting a trend of Toulouse's dominance.
  • No major injuries reported in the provided sources; lineup integrity for both sides is assumed.
  • No unusual weather or pitch conditions are reported. Toulouse, playing at home, benefits from a supportive crowd, which is often reflected in Ligue 1 home performance.
  • Both teams are likely motivated to climb the table, but Toulouse's stronger attacking profile and home advantage suggest higher motivation to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toulouse -172, Draw 300, Metz 450 Toulouse β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%
Spread Toulouse -1 (105), Metz +1 (-125) Toulouse -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-112), Under 2.5 (-108) Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse should win by a margin of 1-2 goals, with both sides likely to score but Toulouse having more quality in the final third.

Predicted Score: Toulouse 2-1 Metz


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Lorient vs. Brest Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lorient vs Brest – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Game Overview

A tightly matched Ligue 1 contest between mid-table Lorient and Brest, both with similar points and inconsistent recent form, making for a close competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lorient (7 points from 7 games) and Brest (8 points from 7 games) show similar mid-table form with no strong winning streaks. Lorient has a neutral goal difference; Brest's form is slightly worse defensively with a -7 goal difference.
  • Recent direct matchups have been close with no dominant winner; probabilities lean slightly towards Lorient but Brest remains competitive with ~40% win chances for each side and low draw probabilities.
  • No major injury reports for either side impacting key starters, maintaining balanced squads for the match.
  • Home advantage slightly favors Lorient playing at Stade du Moustoir; weather and travel conditions are standard and not expected to influence the match unusually.
  • Both teams seek mid-table stability and points to climb the table, with Lorient possibly having a slight edge due to home crowd and marginally better recent odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lorient: 145, Draw: 253, Brest: 178 Lorient β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Lorient -0.25: 105, Brest +25: -125 Lorient -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lorient 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lorient at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Lorient win; Spread: Lorient -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Rennes vs. Auxerre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rennes vs Auxerre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 19, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Roazhon Park

Game Overview

Rennes hosts Auxerre in Ligue 1 with Rennes favored to win, given their stronger recent form and higher standing in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rennes has shown a slightly better recent performance, winning 2 of their last 5 games, while Auxerre has struggled with 2 wins in their last 7 games.
  • Historical head-to-head data does not provide a significant advantage but Rennes' recent form gives them an edge.
  • There is no significant injury news affecting the outcome of this match.
  • The match is at Rennes' home, which could provide an additional advantage.
  • Rennes has more motivation to win due to their pursuit of a higher league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: 364, Rennes: -128, Draw: 286 Rennes to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Auxerre: +75 -120, Rennes: -0.75 100 Rennes -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 69%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rennes 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Rennes at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rennes to win and over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Rennes 2-1 Auxerre


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RC Lens vs. Paris FC Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: RC Lens vs Paris FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Game Overview

RC Lens hosts Paris FC in a Ligue 1 match where Lens are slight favorites due to better recent home form and marginally stronger league position, but both teams have shown effective scoring abilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lens has won two consecutive Ligue 1 home games and holds a 6th place standing with 13 points. Paris FC recently won against Lorient, scoring 2 goals at home, and sits 8th with 10 points.
  • Recent matchups favor Lens slightly; current season form and home advantage support their slight edge.
  • No major injury concerns have been reported for either team that significantly affect key attacking or defensive players.
  • Match is played at Lens’ home stadium with full motivation as both teams seek to consolidate their league standings. No adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Both teams aim for top-half league stability; Lens shows higher motivation to extend positive home run, while Paris FC seeks to continue building on their recent away challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline RC Lens: -115, Draw: 290, Paris FC: 310 RC Lens β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread RC Lens -0.5: -115, Paris FC +50: -105 RC Lens -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -122, Under 2.75: 102 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline RC Lens 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: RC Lens at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

RC Lens to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Marseille vs. Le Havre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Marseille vs Le Havre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Orange VΓ©lodrome

Game Overview

Marseille and Le Havre face off in Ligue 1, with Marseille aiming to extend their unbeaten streak against Le Havre. Marseille has a strong home record, having won each of their last eight games at Stade VΓ©lodrome. Le Havre, meanwhile, has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last three away matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marseille is in excellent form, particularly at home, where they have scored an average of 3.20 goals per match. Le Havre has shown mixed results and struggles on the road, averaging 1.70 goals per game away from home.
  • Marseille has a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, having never lost to Le Havre in their last eight meetings and winning nine of their last ten encounters.
  • Marseille may see the return of key players like Geoffrey Kondogbia and Hamed Junior TraorΓ¨, while Le Havre's Reda Khadra is expected to be fit.
  • Weather conditions and officiating could play a minor role but are unlikely to significantly impact the outcome.
  • Marseille is highly motivated to continue their strong home form and maintain a top position in the league. Le Havre is looking to break their away win drought.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -315 (Marseille), 825 (Le Havre), 495 (Draw) Marseille β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 84%
Spread -1.5 Marseille (-108), +1.5 Le Havre (-112) Marseille -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 3 (+103), Under 3 (-123) Over 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marseille -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marseille's strong home record and excellent head-to-head performance against Le Havre make them the favorite to win.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Marseille


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Angers vs. AS Monaco Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Angers vs AS Monaco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, France

Game Overview

Angers (17th in Ligue 1) host AS Monaco (5th) in a midtable clash with clear contrasts in form and quality. Angers are winless in their last 5 league matches and struggle at home, while Monaco are in solid Ligue 1 form, motivated to push for European places.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Angers have managed just 1 home win this season, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at Stade Raymond Kopa in their last 10 home matches. Monaco average 1.2 away goals, also conceding 1.6 in their last 10 on the road, but have shown far greater consistency in picking up results[1][2].
  • Monaco have dominated the historical matchup, winning 15 of 23 meetings (5 wins, 3 draws for Angers). In their last 6 meetings at Stade Raymond Kopa, Monaco have won 4, with 2 drawsβ€”including a 2-0 win last timeβ€”and Angers have not beaten Monaco at home since 2019[1][2].
  • No major injuries reported for either side in recent updatesβ€”assume mostly full squads and healthy key players.
  • No major external factors (weather, scheduling, etc.) reported; match odds reflect standard home/away splits.
  • Angers are struggling to avoid relegation and desperately need points, but their current form and head-to-head record do not inspire confidence. Monaco are fighting for European qualification and have the quality edge in both attack and defense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Angers +437 | Monaco -159 | Draw +326 AS Monaco β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%
Spread Angers +1 -122 | Monaco -1 +102 AS Monaco -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Over/under Over 2.75 -121 | Under 2.75 +101 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AS Monaco 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Angers' home venue, Monaco's superior form, recent head-to-head dominance, and attacking quality make them clear favorites for all three major markets.

Predicted Score: Angers 0–2 AS Monaco


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Nice vs. Lyon Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nice vs Lyon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice, France

Game Overview

Ligue 1 match between home side Nice and Lyon, featuring two teams with contrasting recent form and typically low-scoring encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nice has scored 7 goals in their last 6 matches but struggles offensively recently. Lyon has shown strong defense, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 games and unbeaten in 4 recent H2H matches against Nice.
  • Lyon is unbeaten in the last four meetings against Nice, winning three. Past matches have been mostly low scoring with under 2.5 goals in three of the last four encounters.
  • No major injury data available that significantly alters starting lineups for either team.
  • Match at home gives Nice a slight advantage, but Lyon's better defensive form offsets this. No strong external disruptions noted.
  • Lyon appears highly motivated to maintain dominance over Nice and continue strong league form, while Nice seeks a home win to reverse recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lyon: +182, Nice: +153, Draw: +251 Lyon β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Lyon 0: +102, Nice 0: -122 Nice 0 (draw no bet) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: -103, Under 2.75: -117 Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lyon 41%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lyon at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lyon moneyline win, spread on Nice 0 (draw no bet), under 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: Nice 0 – 1 Lyon


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Paris Saint Germain vs. Strasbourg Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Strasbourg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 17, 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Parc des Princes

Game Overview

Paris Saint-Germain hosts Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 match. PSG is favored due to their stronger squad, but Strasbourg has shown resilience with a recent 5-0 win over Angers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSG has a strong roster but has been dealing with injuries. Strasbourg is performing well, with only two losses this season.
  • PSG has dominated in recent head-to-head matches, winning seven out of the last ten encounters.
  • PSG is currently dealing with several key player injuries, which might affect their performance.
  • Home advantage could significantly benefit PSG, but Strasbourg's recent form suggests they might pose a challenge.
  • PSG needs to maintain their position atop the league, while Strasbourg aims to secure points against a strong opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -320 / 850 / 490 PSG β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread -1.5 -115 / 1.5 -105 Strasbourg +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 3.25 -103 / Under 3.25 -117 Under 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain 518%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Paris Saint Germain at 518% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSG is expected to win, but with Strasbourg's strong recent form, a closer match than expected is possible.

Predicted Score: PSG 1-1 Strasbourg


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Auxerre vs. RC Lens Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs RC Lens – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Game Overview

Auxerre, currently 14th with 6 points, faces 7th placed RC Lens with 10 points in this Ligue 1 Matchday 7 contest. Lens has stronger recent form and slightly better offensive/defensive stats, while Auxerre struggles with fewer goals scored and more conceded.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre has won 2 and lost 4 of their first 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8 goals. Lens has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5 goals in 6 matches.
  • The previous encounter ended decisively in Auxerre's favor with a 4-0 win, but Lens has rebounded in form since then.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly alter starting lineups or weaken key players.
  • Home advantage for Auxerre is moderate; match at their Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, but Lens has shown good away resilience recently.
  • Lens is motivated to secure a top-half position and maintain momentum; Auxerre aims to climb out of relegation-threatened positions, adding to their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +250, away: -104, draw: +270 RC Lens β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home_+50: -118, away_-0.5: -102 RC Lens -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over_2.5: -120, under_2.5: +100 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline RC Lens 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

RC Lens to win on the moneyline; Lens to cover the -0.5 spread; Total goals over 2.5

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Brest vs. Nantes Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brest vs Nantes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Francis-Le BlΓ©, Brest

Game Overview

A tightly contested Ligue 1 match between Brest and Nantes, two mid-table teams showing defensive solidity and moderate offensive output. Brest holds home advantage, while Nantes boasts the best defense in Ligue 1 this season. Both teams are similarly motivated, with recent form reflecting cautious but competitive play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brest shows steady form at home but limited scoring capability. Nantes has the league's best defense, conceding only 7 in 6 matches, with an emphasis on tight, low-scoring matches.
  • Previous encounters have been close affairs, often ending in draws or narrow wins, highlighting a balanced competitive history.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Match held at Brest's home stadium advantage with no notable external disruptions expected.
  • Both clubs compete closely in the league mid-table, motivating them to gain points, likely resulting in cautious gameplay.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brest: -113, Nantes: 290, Draw: 260 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Brest -0.5: -112, Nantes +50: -108 Brest -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 62%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw on the moneyline, Brest -0.5 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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