Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs Feyenoord – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 2:45 PM UTC
- Location: Asito Stadion
Game Overview
Feyenoord, league leaders and in strong form, visit a struggling Heracles Almelo side at the bottom of the table. Historical dominance by Feyenoord and current differences in form suggest a likely away win with multiple goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Feyenoord is unbeaten in their last eight matches and leading the Eredivisie with 22 points. Heracles are bottom with only three points from eight matches, with poor recent form including seven defeats.
- Feyenoord have dominated historically with 25 away wins in 37 matches versus 3 home wins for Heracles. The last meeting ended 4-1 in favor of Feyenoord. Average goals per match is high at 3.46, indicating open games.
- No major injuries reported affecting Feyenoord's key players. Heracles' squad has no standout absences noted but overall squad quality is weaker.
- The match is at Heracles' home ground but fan support may not be enough to offset their poor form. Weather or pitch conditions have not been highlighted as an issue.
- Heracles are desperate for points to escape relegation zone, which may lead to an aggressive approach. Feyenoord are motivated to maintain their top position and extend an eight-match unbeaten streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Feyenoord: -290, Heracles Almelo: +625, Draw: +440 | Feyenoord | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Feyenoord -1.5: -102, Heracles Almelo +1.5: -118 | Feyenoord -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 | Over 3.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Feyenoord -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Feyenoord to win outright (moneyline), covering -1.5 goals (spread), with a game total over 3.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-3