Match Analysis: Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Euroborg, Groningen, Netherlands
Game Overview
FC Groningen, currently 5th with strong recent form and home advantage, hosts Sparta Rotterdam, 11th with inconsistent away performance, in this Eredivisie clash. Groningen's robust attack and defense at home contrasts with Sparta's recent struggles and only one recent away win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Groningen has won 4 of their last 5 matches and holds a strong home record with 3 wins in 4 games, scoring 14 goals this season. Sparta Rotterdam has managed just one win in recent matches with a weaker away form, scoring 11 goals overall.
- Recent meetings have favored Groningen, including their last away win against NAC Breda 2-1. Sparta's last result was a 3-3 draw with Ajax, showing scoring potential but defensive vulnerabilities.
- No significant injury reports available that impact key players for either team.
- The match will be played at Groningen's home stadium Euroborg, providing them home crowd support and familiar conditions, enhancing their advantage.
- Groningen seeks to solidify their higher-table position with a strong home performance, while Sparta Rotterdam aims to climb the table but lacks recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Groningen -117, Sparta Rotterdam +310, Draw +255 | Groningen | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Groningen -0.5 -115, Sparta Rotterdam +50 -105 | Groningen -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -102, Under 2.75 -118 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Groningen 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Groningen at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Groningen to win; Spread: Groningen -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1