Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Game Overview
The No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide face the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers in a high-stakes SEC matchup featuring two top 15 passing offenses. Alabama is favored by 8.5 points with a total set near 59.5 points in a game with strong offensive potential from both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alabama (5-1) arrives off a narrow 27-24 win over Missouri, showing resilience but some recent close calls. Tennessee (5-1) is riding a three-game winning streak including a 34-31 win over Arkansas, signaling strong momentum and offensive capability.
- In their last meeting, Tennessee upset Alabama 24-17 at Neyland Stadium. Historically, Alabama has won 4 of the last 6 matchups. The rivalry has been competitive with close scorelines.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact starting quarterback availability or main offensive weapons, maintaining balanced lineups.
- Playing at home in Bryant-Denny Stadium gives Alabama a notable advantage. Weather and other external conditions are expected to be neutral for both teams.
- Both teams have high stakes for SEC standings and College Football Playoff positioning. Alabamaβs quest for dominance and Tennesseeβs recent surge adds competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -310 / +250 | Alabama Crimson Tide | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | -112 / -108 | Alabama Crimson Tide -8.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | -105 / -115 | Over 59.5 points | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Alabama Crimson Tide -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 59.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline win, cover the 8.5-point spread, game total over 59.5 points
Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 34 – Tennessee Volunteers 23