Match Analysis: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
Game Overview
No. 7 Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-0) visit Arizona State Sun Devils (4-2) in a Big 12 matchup. Texas Tech is a strong favorite involved in a dominant season, while Arizona State struggles offensively against elite defenses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Tech is undefeated at 6-0, averaging 45 points per game recently with top 5 offensive and defensive efficiency. Arizona State is 4-2, with a recent heavy loss (42-10) to Utah and offensive struggles, especially against strong pass rushes.
- Limited recent direct data, but Arizona State has a solid home October record against ranked teams, while Texas Tech dominates on road against non-AP ranked opponents in October.
- Arizona State likely limited by quarterback Sam Leavitt's uncertain availability and offensive line issues (17 sacks allowed), negatively affecting their offensive production against Texas Tech's elite defense.
- Game played at Arizona State's home stadium with good fan support, but Texas Tech's dominant pressure and defense likely outweighs homefield advantage. Weather and other external factors unremarkable.
- Texas Tech aims to remain undefeated and secure top conference positioning, demonstrating strong motivation. Arizona State motivated by home crowd and recent loss but faces challenges against a superior opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Texas Tech -305, Arizona State +245 | Texas Tech | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Arizona State +7 -105, Texas Tech -7 -115 | Texas Tech -7 | β β β β β 80% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 -110, Under 51.5 -110 | Under 51.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Texas Tech Red Raiders -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win straight up, cover the 7-point spread, and the total points to go under 51.5
Predicted Score: Texas Tech 35 – Arizona State 16