Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Ohio State Buckeyes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Game Overview
The No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0) travel to face the struggling Wisconsin Badgers (2-4), who have lost their last four games including all against ranked opponents. Ohio State is heavily favored and looking to maintain an undefeated season, with a dominant defense allowing just 41 total points this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio State is undefeated with a top-ranked defense, allowing under 7 points per game and consistently dominating opponents. Wisconsin has a poor record, averaging around 10 points per game outside of one high-scoring game, with their offense ranked among the worst nationally.
- Ohio State has won 10 consecutive games against Wisconsin. Ohio State is 5-0-1 against the spread this season; Wisconsin has failed to cover in 4 of 6 games and is 0-3 in the Big Ten.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups; Ohio State maintains full strength, while Wisconsin is under pressure with no major injury boosts noted.
- Wisconsin coach Luke Fickell is under pressure, possibly affecting team morale. Ohio State has strong motivation as reigning national champions pursuing a perfect season. The game is at Wisconsinβs home stadium but environmental factors favor Ohio Stateβs disciplined defense.
- Ohio State is motivated to stay undefeated and continue national championship contention. Wisconsin is motivated to stop their losing streak and improve their outlook but faces a tough opponent with a far superior roster and form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ohio State -7000, Wisconsin +2000 | Ohio State Buckeyes | β β β β β 93% |
Spread | Ohio State -25.5 -110, Wisconsin +25.5 -110 | Ohio State Buckeyes -25.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | Over 41.5 -105, Under 41.5 -115 | Under 41.5 | β β β β β 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Wisconsin Badgers -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 41.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio State Buckeyes dominate the game, winning comfortably both straight up and against the spread. The total points are expected to go under 41.5 due to Ohio State's defensive strength and Wisconsinβs struggling offense.
Predicted Score: Ohio State 31 – Wisconsin 7