Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa
Game Overview
The Montreal Alouettes visit the Ottawa Redblacks in a late-season CFL matchup with Montreal fighting for the East division title and Ottawa eliminated from playoff contention.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal holds a strong 9-7 record and has won the previous encounter decisively 30-10. Ottawa is struggling with a 4-12 record and four consecutive losses.
- Montreal dominated their recent meeting with Ottawa. Ottawa has found it difficult to contain Montreal offensively in past matchups this season.
- Montrealβs starting QB Davis Alexander is slightly injury-prone but expected to play. Ottawa is operating with a third-string QB Tyrie Adams, limiting their offensive potential.
- Ottawaβs home venue offers some home-field benefit, but Montrealβs form and motivation mitigate this. The weather and time are neutral factors.
- Montreal is motivated to keep the division title race alive, whereas Ottawa has no playoff motivation, which heavily favors Montrealβs intensity and focus.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montreal -526, Ottawa +380 | Montreal Alouettes | β β β β β 87% |
| Spread | Montreal -9.5 -110, Ottawa +9.5 -110 | Montreal Alouettes -9.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5 -110, Under 51.5 -110 | Under 51.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal Alouettes moneyline, Montreal -9.5 spread, under 51.5 total points
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 17