Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
Game Overview
Atlético Madrid hosts CA Osasuna in La Liga with Atlético favored given recent form and home advantage. Atlético have been solid but mixed against the spread, and Osasuna struggle away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlético Madrid is 2-1 in last 5 matches, unbeaten across competitions, but 0-4 ATS in away games recently. Osasuna have tactical adjustments ongoing and have lost their last 4 away games.
- Atlético has dominated recent encounters at home with 8 wins in last 10 meetings. Goals average around 2.5 per game with generally low-scoring matches.
- No critical injury info reported for either side that would significantly affect lineup or performance.
- Match played at Atlético's home stadium but in Riyadh, potentially neutralizing some home advantage. No notable weather or other external issues.
- Atlético aiming to solidify position in Champions League zone, highly motivated. Osasuna are still adapting tactically under new manager, motivation present but lower chances of winning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -275, away: 800, draw: 424 | Atlético Madrid | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | home: -122, away: 102 | Atlético Madrid -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atlético Madrid -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlético Madrid to win moneyline, covering -1.25 spread, and total goals over 2.5
Predicted Score: 2-1