Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Real Betis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de la Ceramica
Game Overview
La Liga Round 9 clash featuring Villarreal hosting Real Betis, both in strong form but with Villarreal holding a home unbeaten streak and Betis on a three-game winning run.
Key Factors to Consider
- Villarreal has won eight consecutive home matches and concedes few goals, scoring consistently in La Liga. Real Betis has won their last three matches and are also scoring regularly.
- Villarreal has dominated recent home encounters, including a 2-1 win in the previous meeting. Historical dominance at home gives Villarreal an edge.
- Villarreal will miss key defenders Logan Costa, Juan Foyth, Willy Kambwala, and forward Pau Cabanes, plus suspension for Santiago Mourino. Ayoze Perez and Gerard Moreno have returned. Real Betis appears healthier.
- The match is at Villarreal's home ground where they show strong defensive solidity and recent dominance. Weather or pitch conditions were not highlighted as factors.
- Villarreal aims to maintain its top-three standing and home winning streak after a loss to Real Madrid. Real Betis seeks to extend their unbeaten run and stay competitive in the league.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Villarreal -108, Real Betis +291, Draw +284 | Villarreal | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Villarreal -0.5 -108, Real Betis +50 -112 | Villarreal -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -122, Under 2.75 +102 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 56% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Villarreal -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Villarreal to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and over 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1 Villarreal