Match Analysis: Fulham vs Arsenal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Craven Cottage, London
Game Overview
Arsenal, currently top of the Premier League, visit Fulham who have suffered recent back-to-back losses. Arsenal have strong recent form and outperform Fulham in possession and offensive metrics. Fulham's home advantage exists but their recent form and form against Arsenal is weak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arsenal have won their last two Premier League matches, including a 2-0 win over West Ham, showing strong offensive and defensive form. Fulham however lost their last two games and struggled offensively, notably a 3-1 loss to Bournemouth.
- Historically Arsenal have dominated Fulham in recent Premier League matches with a 5-game winning streak away at Fulham now broken by two losses; Arsenal have still only one loss in last 18 London derbies. Arsenal have recently beaten Fulham twice in Premier League.
- No specific impactful injury news surfaced for either team before the match, suggesting both sides fielding near full strength.
- Match played at Fulham's Craven Cottage, providing home advantage. No adverse weather or external issues noted. Arsenal travel after an international break with good morale.
- Arsenal are motivated to maintain top spot and extend strong league form. Fulham face pressure after consecutive defeats and need points to climb, adding some motivation to resist Arsenal.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal: -187, Fulham: 470, Draw: 310 | Arsenal | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Arsenal -0.5: -189, Fulham +50: 141 | Arsenal -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -111, Under 2.5: -119 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arsenal to win
Predicted Score: Fulham 1 – 2 Arsenal