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Shido Boris Esperanca vs. Ayinda Octave Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shido Boris Esperanca vs Ayinda Octave – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL Africa Welterweight Main Card

Game Overview

The matchup features Shido Boris Esperanca, a rising star deeply connected to Angola's proud MMA warrior heritage, against the less-favored Ayinda Octave in a PFL Africa welterweight bout. Esperanca enters as a strong favorite with superior recent form and pronounced home region motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Esperanca has shown consistent form and skill development in recent fights, with a record reflecting dominance in striking and grappling, whereas Octave's recent fights lack the same level of decisive victories or technical superiority.
  • No publicly available direct H2H records, suggesting this is either their first encounter or no notable past matchups.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both athletes are likely at full physical capacity.
  • The fight's location within PFL Africa and Esperanca's national ties to Angola provide a psychological and motivational edge. There are no known external disruptions affecting either fighter.
  • Esperanca has elevated motivation due to representing Angola in a rising MMA platform, aligning with cultural warrior pride, likely increasing focus and competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -255, away: +215 Shido Boris Esperanca ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -1.5 at -120, away: +1.5 at +100 Shido Boris Esperanca -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: +140, under: -160 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shido Boris Esperanca -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shido Boris Esperanca to win decisively with the fight staying under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Esperanca wins by TKO in round 1


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Shido Boris Esperanca vs. Ayinda Octave Prediction

Match Analysis: Shido Boris Esperanca vs Ayinda Octave – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-18 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: PFL Africa Welterweight Main Card Game Overview The matchup features Shido Boris Esperanca, a rising star deeply connected to Angola's proud MMA warrior heritage, against the less-favored Ayinda Octave in a PFL Africa welterweight bout. Esperanca […]

Ayinda Octave MMA/Boxing October 18, 2025 Shido Boris Esperanca

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Reinier de Ridder vs. Brendan Allen Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night (venue not specified)

Game Overview

Middleweight main event featuring Reinier de Ridder, a physically imposing southpaw with elite grappling, against Brendan Allen, a younger, durable orthodox striker with solid submissions and reach disadvantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • de Ridder holds a strong recent form with a notable 5-round split decision win over Robert Whittaker in July. Allen has a solid record but fewer recent marquee wins.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts reported. Styles contrast with de Ridder's grappling and Allen's striking-submission hybrid game.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter; both appear healthy entering the fight.
  • Fight taking place in a standard UFC event environment with no significant external factors disadvantaging either fighter; de Ridder slightly older at 35 vs 29 but with better championship experience.
  • de Ridder motivated by defending his rising middleweight status; Allen aiming to cement a top contender position but viewed as underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline de Ridder: -198, Allen: +164 Reinier de Ridder ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread de Ridder -9.5 (-120), Allen +9.5 (-110) Reinier de Ridder -9.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.5 (+105), Under 3.5 (-135) Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Reinier de Ridder -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Reinier de Ridder to win by decision

Predicted Score: de Ridder wins via unanimous decision after 5 rounds


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Kevin Holland vs. Mike Malott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event Venue (Vancouver)

Game Overview

Kevin Holland and Mike Malott face off in a fairly balanced matchup with even moneyline odds, reflecting a nearly 50-50 chance of victory between the two fighters. The bout is expected to be competitive with a striking vs grappling contrast.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kevin Holland has shown inconsistent recent form with solid striking but some vulnerabilities in grappling defense, while Mike Malott has performed well in recent fights, notably strong in submissions and consistent pressure.
  • No previous recorded matchups between Holland and Malott, so no direct H2H data to influence the prediction.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both are expected to be at full health.
  • Fight scheduled in Vancouver which may slightly favor Holland due to closer regional fan support and environment familiarity.
  • Holland is looking to rebound after mixed results to remain relevant in UFC rankings; Malott aims to solidify his place with a signature win, possibly adding extra pressure and focus to his performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kevin Holland: -110, Mike Malott: -110 Mike Malott ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Kevin Holland +3.5: -155, Mike Malott -3.5: 115 Mike Malott -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 140, Under 2.5 rounds: -180 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mike Malott 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Mike Malott

Predicted Score: Mike Malott wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Marlon Vera vs. Aiemann Zahabi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

Vancouver native Aiemann Zahabi, a rising force in the UFC bantamweight division, faces former interim title challenger Marlon 'Chito' Vera. Zahabi is on a six-fight win streak, showing significant improvement in striking defense and cardio. Vera is a durable, high-level action fighter known for his durability, volume, and dangerous submissions, but he is returning off a tough title-fight loss and possible physical toll. The odds reflect Zahabi as the favorite, but Vera's experience and finishing ability make this a compelling stylistic matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zahabi is 6-0 in his last six—impressive for a 37-year-old; Vera is 3-3 in his last six, with losses coming against the division's elite. Zahabi lands more significant strikes per minute (4.42 to Vera's 4.27) and defends better (69% defense to Vera's 50%). Vera absorbs more strikes (5.37/minute to Zahabi's 4.13/minute), suggesting a defensively sound Zahabi could win exchanges[1].
  • No prior H2H. Vera's edge is in big-fight experience; Zahabi's rising momentum and technical improvements are the counterpoint.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter. Vera's long career and recent grueling bouts introduce some uncertainty.
  • Zahabi fights in his home country, likely drawing crowd support. Vera has fought on big stages, so pressure is familiar.
  • Zahabi seeks to prove he's an elite contender and finally break into the top 10; Vera needs to rebound impressively to stay relevant in the title picture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Zahabi -122, Vera +102 Aiemann Zahabi ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Zahabi +3.5 -230, Vera -3.5 +165 Aiemann Zahabi +3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -375, Under 2.5 +270 Under 2.5 rounds ★★☆☆☆ 45%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aiemann Zahabi 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 155%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aiemann Zahabi, riding momentum and with a defensive edge, wins a competitive, high-paced striking battle. Vera's durability and finishing threat keep it close, but Zahabi's technical growth, cardio, and home crowd advantage are likely decisive.

Predicted Score: Aiemann Zahabi def. Marlon Vera by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Manon Fiorot vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC event (venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

Main card UFC women's flyweight matchup between rising contender Jasmine Jasudavicius and established contender Manon Fiorot. Fiorot is a clear betting favorite with a dominant striking and technical grappling pedigree, while Jasudavicius is a durable, high-motor fighter looking to upset the odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorot has consistently faced higher-ranked opponents and demonstrated elite striking accuracy, while Jasudavicius has shown resilience and toughness in her UFC run.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between the fighters.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Standard octagon conditions; no significant external distractions or unusual factors reported.
  • Fiorot likely eyeing a title shot with a win; Jasudavicius motivated to break into the top 10 with a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorot -230, Jasudavicius +190 Manon Fiorot ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Jasudavicius +3.5 (-170), Fiorot -3.5 (+125) Fiorot -3.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5 -425, Under 2.5 +300 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manon Fiorot 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorot to win a decision with superior technical striking and grappling, leveraging her experience against higher competition.

Predicted Score: Manon Fiorot wins by unanimous decision (30–27, 30–26, 30–26)


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Cody Gibson vs. Aori Qileng Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cody Gibson vs Aori Qileng – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Game Overview

Bantamweight bout between veteran Cody Gibson and dynamic striker Aori Qileng, featuring contrasting fighting styles and recent form dynamics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cody Gibson has shown consistent durability and grappling control but recent performances indicate slowing pace. Aori Qileng presents a fast-paced striking style with improving offensive output, coming off notable wins.
  • No previous matchups exist between these fighters, making this contest reliant on stylistic analysis and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, both appear physically prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Vancouver, favoring Gibson slightly due to his North American experience, but not significantly impacting performance.
  • Gibson aims to maintain relevance in the division facing a rising contender, while Qileng seeks to cement his UFC status with a breakout victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aori Qileng: +150, Cody Gibson: -180 Cody Gibson ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Aori Qileng +3.5: -155, Cody Gibson -3.5: +115 Cody Gibson -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -188, Under 2.5: +145 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cody Gibson -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 42%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cody Gibson to win; Spread: Cody Gibson by more than 3.5 points; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Cody Gibson wins by decision (3 rounds)


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Kyle Nelson vs. Matt Frevola Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

Kyle Nelson and Matt Frevola face off in a UFC lightweight bout anticipated to be competitive with evenly matched odds and a slight edge to Frevola based on recent form and activity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matt Frevola is slightly favored due to a more active recent fight schedule and a tendency toward decision wins. Kyle Nelson has solid grappling but less recent activity.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups; both fighters bring contrasting styles—Nelson with grappling and Frevola with wrestling and pressure striking.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering the bout.
  • Fight is taking place at a neutral venue with standard conditions. No travel or altitude concerns known.
  • Frevola appears motivated to reclaim momentum after a recent mixed record, while Nelson aims to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kyle Nelson: -110, Matt Frevola: -110 Matt Frevola ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Kyle Nelson: 3.5 -155, Matt Frevola: -3.5 115 Matt Frevola -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.5 130, Under: 2.5 -166 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matt Frevola -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matt Frevola to win by decision

Predicted Score: Matt Frevola wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Azamat Bekoev vs. Yousri Belgaroui Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC, Canada

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Azamat Bekoev (20-3, 2-0 UFC), a highly experienced, well-rounded finisher with a ground-and-pound base, and Yousri Belgaroui (8-3, 0-0 UFC), a lanky, dangerous kickboxer making his UFC debut after notable Contender Series KO.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bekoev is on an eight-fight win streak, finishing both UFC fights by TKO. He averages 7.59 significant strikes per minute (landing 61%), absorbs 4.48, and defends 46% of strikes. Belgaroui lands 4.43 significant strikes per minute (60%), absorbs 2.65, and defends 57%. Bekoev has superior MMA experience and finishing ability (16 finishes evenly split KO/sub). Belgaroui has six KO wins, but has been outgrappled before and has far less MMA experience.
  • First meeting.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Belgaroui is making his UFC debut, which can bring pressure and unpredictability, but he also hasn't fought in over a year. Bekoev fights out of American Top Team and is active.
  • Bekoev is a rising contender, motivated to climb rankings. Belgaroui is looking to make a splash in his UFC debut and prove he belongs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bekoev -310, Belgaroui +250 Bekoev win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Bekoev -7.5 -135, Belgaroui +7.5 +100 Bekoev -7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 -210, Under 1.5 +160 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Bekoev 187%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 51%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Azamat Bekoev at 187% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 74.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bekoev is a substantial betting favorite for good reason: superior experience, finishing ability, and well-rounded skills, especially grappling, should dictate the fight. Belgaroui’s striking is dangerous, but his lack of MMA experience and history of being outgrappled are major concerns against a fighter of Bekoev’s caliber. Expect Bekoev to pressure, look for takedowns, and dominate either with ground-and-pound or a submission.

Predicted Score: Bekoev by Submission or TKO, Round 2


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Melissa Croden vs. Tainara Lisboa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 18, 2025
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA matchup between Melissa Croden and Tainara Lisboa is set to take place at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are closely matched, with Croden slightly favored by some bookmakers. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having recent experience in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form shows both fighters have been active in the UFC. Tainara Lisboa has experienced a mix of wins and losses, while Melissa Croden is making her UFC debut.
  • No head-to-head matchups exist between Croden and Lisboa, making this a first-time encounter.
  • There are no reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight taking place in Vancouver may not significantly impact either fighter, as both are likely to be well-prepared.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Croden seeking a win in her UFC debut and Lisboa looking to build on recent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melissa Croden: -118, Tainara Lisboa: -102 Melissa Croden ★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread Melissa Croden: -3.5 150, Tainara Lisboa: 3.5 -205 Tainara Lisboa +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -220, Under: 2.5 170 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melissa Croden -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melissa Croden at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup is expected to be closely contested, with a high chance of reaching the judges' scorecards.

Predicted Score: This fight is likely to go the distance, with both fighters displaying strong defensive skills.


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Davey Grant vs. Charles Jourdain Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Davey Grant vs Charles Jourdain – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

A high-stakes bantamweight bout between two aggressive, well-rounded strikers: Charles Jourdain (16-8-1, -166 moneyline favorite) looks to extend his momentum after a successful bantamweight debut, while Davey Grant (17-7-0, +140) arrives with a 4-1 run in his last five, including a recent decision win over Da'Mon Blackshear[1][2]. Both fighters have nearly identical reach, but Jourdain is the bigger volume striker with a slight edge in accuracy and defense[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jourdain lands 5.43 significant strikes per minute at 48% accuracy, absorbs 4.27, and defends 56% of strikes. Grant lands 5.18/minute at 44%, absorbs 3.74, and defends 55%. Jourdain's recent bantamweight debut was a win, while Grant is 4-1 in his last five, with his only loss in that span to a top-ranked opponent[1][2].
  • No prior matchups.
  • No recent injury news reported for either fighter.
  • Fight takes place in Vancouver, Canada—Jourdain's home country, but not a decisive home-cage advantage. No major external factors reported.
  • Jourdain is looking to establish himself at bantamweight after a promising debut. Grant, at 39, may be fighting to maintain relevance near the end of his career but has shown consistent form and durability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jourdain -166, Grant +140 Jourdain ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Jourdain -3.5 +110, Grant +3.5 -150 Grant +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -210, Under 2.5 +160 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Charles Jourdain -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a technical standup battle with Jourdain's superior volume, youth, and recent divisional success giving him a narrow edge, but Grant's toughness, experience, and recent form make him a live underdog. Fight goes the distance at bantamweight pace.

Predicted Score: Charles Jourdain def. Davey Grant via Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)


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