Match Analysis: Nice vs Lyon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice, France
Game Overview
Ligue 1 match between home side Nice and Lyon, featuring two teams with contrasting recent form and typically low-scoring encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nice has scored 7 goals in their last 6 matches but struggles offensively recently. Lyon has shown strong defense, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 games and unbeaten in 4 recent H2H matches against Nice.
- Lyon is unbeaten in the last four meetings against Nice, winning three. Past matches have been mostly low scoring with under 2.5 goals in three of the last four encounters.
- No major injury data available that significantly alters starting lineups for either team.
- Match at home gives Nice a slight advantage, but Lyon's better defensive form offsets this. No strong external disruptions noted.
- Lyon appears highly motivated to maintain dominance over Nice and continue strong league form, while Nice seeks a home win to reverse recent struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Lyon: +182, Nice: +153, Draw: +251 | Lyon | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Lyon 0: +102, Nice 0: -122 | Nice 0 (draw no bet) | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -103, Under 2.75: -117 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lyon 41% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Lyon at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lyon moneyline win, spread on Nice 0 (draw no bet), under 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: Nice 0 – 1 Lyon