Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Selhurst Park, London
Game Overview
Crystal Palace hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash at Selhurst Park. Both teams have shown solid attacking form but Crystal Palace's defensive solidity at home and recent statistical models favor them slightly as favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Crystal Palace averages 1.29 goals scored per game (10th in EPL) and only 0.71 goals conceded (2nd best defense). Bournemouth scores 1.57 goals per game (4th best offense) but concedes 1.14 (9th worst defense).
- Recent head-to-heads show balanced outcomes but with a slight edge to Crystal Palace at home. No recent dominance by Bournemouth in this fixture.
- No major injury news reported for key attacking players for either side, keeping lineups expected to be at near full strength.
- Match at Selhurst Park gives Crystal Palace home advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues noted. Crowd support likely favors Palace.
- Both teams mid-table motivated to climb standings, but Crystal Palaceβs stronger defensive record and home form increase motivation to secure points.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace +121, Bournemouth +220, Draw +228 | Crystal Palace win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Crystal Palace -0.5 +117, Bournemouth +50 -155 | Crystal Palace -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -118 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Crystal Palace win on moneyline, Crystal Palace -0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 goals for Over/Under.
Predicted Score: 1-0