Match Analysis: Sheffield United vs Watford – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Game Overview
Sheffield United hosts Watford in an EFL Championship clash where Sheffield United, despite recent home struggles, hold a historical edge over Watford with better recent head-to-head results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sheffield United have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but have lost their last 4 home games overall, while Watford have only scored 2 in their last 5 and have managed 2 draws in their recent 4 away matches.
- Sheffield United have won 3 of the last 6 meetings against Watford, including the most recent 2-1 away victory earlier this year, showing slight dominance.
- Sheffield United will miss Andre Brooks, Jamie Shackleton, Ollie Arblaster, and Tahith Chong due to injury. Watford will be without Giorgi Chakvetadze, Pierre Dwomoh, and Vivaldo Semedo.
- Match played at Sheffieldβs Bramall Lane which despite recent poor home form, historically benefits Sheffield United. No significant external disruptions noted.
- Sheffield United's mid-table position and recent losses may put pressure on them to regain form at home; Watfordβs motivation is tempered by a weaker recent form but they aim to deny Sheffield points away.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -106, away: 270, draw: 235 | Sheffield United | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | home: -0.5 -102, away: 50 -118 | Sheffield United -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: 2.25 -125, under: 2.25 105 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sheffield United 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sheffield United to win moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately low scoring game under 2.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0