Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Game Overview
Bundesliga clash between bottom-table 1. FC Heidenheim and mid-table Werder Bremen. Heidenheim struggle with form, 0-5 in last 5, while Bremen have moderate stability and slight favorite status.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heidenheim has lost all last 5 Bundesliga games and struggles offensively, while Werder Bremen recently won a tight 1-0 match and shows better defensive organization and scoring potential.
- Recent H2H favors Werder Bremen with 2 wins out of last 9 matches, but Heidenheim won both meetings last season. Historically close matches with a slight Bremen edge in goal difference (17-16).
- Heidenheim key forward Budu Zivzivadze returns from ban, adds attacking options. Bremen likely to start Isaac Schmidt due to Felix Agu injury.
- Match at Heidenheimβs home ground but their poor form dampens home advantage. Public betting heavily favors Heidenheim on spread but Bremen favored moneyline; market reflects mixed sentiment.
- Heidenheim desperate to escape bottom of the table with only 3 points; Bremen motivated to build on last win and stabilize season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 138 | Werder Bremen | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | 103 | Werder Bremen -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | -122 / 102 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Werder Bremen 24% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Werder Bremen moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-2