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Sevilla vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla

Game Overview

Sevilla hosts Mallorca in a key La Liga encounter. Sevilla, rejuvenated under Matias Almeyda, are pushing for Europe, while Mallorca languish at the foot of the table, winless in their last five away games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla are in strong form: two consecutive league wins (including a 4-1 thrashing of Barcelona), sitting 6th, and scoring goals at a high rate (15 in 8 matches). Mallorca have had a dismal start, losing four straight road games and struggling to create chances (only 2 shots on target last away game).
  • Sevilla are unbeaten in their last five home games vs Mallorca, who last won in Seville in 2010. Recent meetings have been tight, but Sevilla have the clear historical edge. Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 9 of the last 10 head-to-heads.
  • No significant injury updates from top sources. Potential missing players could sway odds if announced closer to kickoff.
  • Sevilla’s home crowd and momentum from recent big win are clear assets. Mallorca’s low morale and poor away record are major liabilities.
  • Sevilla are pushing for European spots and have serious momentum. Mallorca need a turnaround to avoid being cut adrift in the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla -116, Mallorca +376, Draw +247 Sevilla ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Sevilla -0.5 (-116), Mallorca +50 (-104) Sevilla -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-108), Under 2.25 (-112) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla should control play and are heavily favored on form, H2H, and venue. However, their defense remains vulnerable, and Mallorca could park the bus, keeping it tighter than the moneyline suggests.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Sevilla


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Atlético Madrid vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts CA Osasuna in La Liga with Atlético favored given recent form and home advantage. Atlético have been solid but mixed against the spread, and Osasuna struggle away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid is 2-1 in last 5 matches, unbeaten across competitions, but 0-4 ATS in away games recently. Osasuna have tactical adjustments ongoing and have lost their last 4 away games.
  • Atlético has dominated recent encounters at home with 8 wins in last 10 meetings. Goals average around 2.5 per game with generally low-scoring matches.
  • No critical injury info reported for either side that would significantly affect lineup or performance.
  • Match played at Atlético's home stadium but in Riyadh, potentially neutralizing some home advantage. No notable weather or other external issues.
  • Atlético aiming to solidify position in Champions League zone, highly motivated. Osasuna are still adapting tactically under new manager, motivation present but lower chances of winning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -275, away: 800, draw: 424 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -122, away: 102 Atlético Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win moneyline, covering -1.25 spread, and total goals over 2.5

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Villarreal vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica

Game Overview

La Liga Round 9 clash featuring Villarreal hosting Real Betis, both in strong form but with Villarreal holding a home unbeaten streak and Betis on a three-game winning run.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has won eight consecutive home matches and concedes few goals, scoring consistently in La Liga. Real Betis has won their last three matches and are also scoring regularly.
  • Villarreal has dominated recent home encounters, including a 2-1 win in the previous meeting. Historical dominance at home gives Villarreal an edge.
  • Villarreal will miss key defenders Logan Costa, Juan Foyth, Willy Kambwala, and forward Pau Cabanes, plus suspension for Santiago Mourino. Ayoze Perez and Gerard Moreno have returned. Real Betis appears healthier.
  • The match is at Villarreal's home ground where they show strong defensive solidity and recent dominance. Weather or pitch conditions were not highlighted as factors.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain its top-three standing and home winning streak after a loss to Real Madrid. Real Betis seeks to extend their unbeaten run and stay competitive in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -108, Real Betis +291, Draw +284 Villarreal ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Villarreal -0.5 -108, Real Betis +50 -112 Villarreal -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.75 -122, Under 2.75 +102 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1 Villarreal


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Barcelona vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys

Game Overview

Barcelona hosts Girona in a La Liga match where Barcelona is the dominant favorite after suffering a recent away loss, while Girona has shown mixed form but managed a recent home win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has won 3 consecutive home games but recently lost 4-1 away to Sevilla despite high possession. Girona won their last home match narrowly against Valencia but have a 1-3-4 record overall with struggles for consistency.
  • Historically, Barcelona leads the rivalry with 9 wins against Girona's 4, including last season’s 4-1 victories at home and away. Average goals scored per encounter favor Barcelona (2.93) over Girona (1.14).
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly affect team strength.
  • Barcelona faces pressure from fans following recent poor away form and calls for coach changes, increasing motivation to perform at home. Girona seeks to consolidate their place but have less at stake.
  • Barcelona highly motivated to bounce back strongly on home soil and maintain second place in the league; Girona motivated by survival and rare opportunities to challenge stronger teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -485, Girona: 1250, Draw: 650 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona -2: -113, Girona +2: -107 Barcelona -2 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 4: 108, Under 4: -128 Over 4 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win, cover -2 goal spread, and Over 4 goals total

Predicted Score: 4-1


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Oviedo vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-17
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Game Overview

Espanyol, after a strong start, are winless in their last four, while Oviedo sit 17th with La Liga's least effective attack. Both teams are desperate for points—Oviedo to escape relegation, Espanyol to reignite their playoff push.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol's early-season form has dipped, but they still hold a better record (3-2-3) than Oviedo (2-6). Oviedo averages just 0.5 goals per match, among the league's lowest, and has lost 4 of their last 5 overall and against the spread[1][3].
  • Oviedo have not lost at home to Espanyol in 7 of the last 8 encounters. Espanyol's last away win at Oviedo was in 1995. Recent playoff history (2023/24) favored Espanyol in both legs (2-0 aggregate)[3].
  • No major injury news reported. Lineup changes could shift odds, but current data assumes full squads.
  • No significant external factors (weather, referees, crowd) reported. Odds suggest a tight match with no clear favorite.
  • Oviedo are desperate for points to avoid relegation. Espanyol need to reverse a slump to stay in the promotion race. Both teams highly motivated, but Oviedo's poor form tempers home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 162, Oviedo: 207, Draw: 206 Draw ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Espanyol: 0 -128, Oviedo: 0 108 Oviedo 0 (pick) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 2 -104, Under: 2 -116 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Low-scoring, tense match with Oviedo's home record keeping it close, but Espanyol's slightly superior form and quality give them a marginal edge.

Predicted Score: 0-0


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Real Madrid vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Game Overview

La Liga heavyweights Real Madrid host in-form Villarreal at the Bernabéu. Madrid looks to defend its home fortress, while Villarreal brings a hot streak after winning 11 of their last 13 league matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid are undefeated in 22 of their last 24 home league matches vs Villarreal, and remain a nearly invincible force at home. However, Villarreal's recent league form (11 wins in 13) is the best in La Liga, suggesting they are in peak competitive shape[7].
  • Madrid’s home dominance is clear, but Villarreal’s current momentum adds intrigue. Most recent meetings have been tightly contested, but Madrid rarely drops points at home in this fixture[7].
  • No new major injuries reported for either side at this time (based on available data).
  • Stadium factor: Bernabéu is a fortress. Neutral conditions expected; no significant travel or weather issues.
  • Madrid aims to maintain pressure at the top, while Villarreal seeks to prove their title credentials by taking points from the elite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid -215, Villarreal +460, Draw +420 Real Madrid ML ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Real Madrid -1.25 -110, Villarreal +1.25 -110 Real Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 -120, Under 3.25 +100 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid’s home record and Villarreal’s current form set up a high-stakes, high-scoring clash, but Madrid’s elite squad and home edge remain decisive.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Real Madrid


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Mallorca in a La Liga match expected to be closely contested, with both teams seeking to improve their positions in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown mixed form, while Mallorca struggles with consistency away from home.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have varied, but Athletic Bilbao generally holds an advantage at home.
  • No significant injury updates affect this analysis.
  • Weather conditions and fan support could influence the match, but no significant external factors are noted.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Athletic Bilbao might have an edge playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -195, Mallorca: 575, Draw: 305 Athletic Bilbao ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1 -112, Mallorca: 1 -108 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -102, Under: 2.25 -118 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and recent trends, Athletic Bilbao is favored to win, while the match is expected to see over 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 2, Mallorca 1


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Girona vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Game Overview

Girona and Valencia meet in La Liga with both teams showing interest in climbing the table. Girona, buoyed by strong home form, faces a Valencia side struggling for consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona's recent form at home has been impressive, while Valencia's away performances have been shaky. Girona has shown a potent attack and is favored by statistical models to edge this encounter[2].
  • The H2H record is relatively even, but Girona's recent upswing and Valencia's inconsistent play tip the balance toward the home side[2].
  • No major injury reports found in the available data. Assume both teams are near full strength unless late updates indicate otherwise.
  • Standard La Liga match with no significant weather or venue issues reported. Home advantage is notable for Girona[2].
  • Both teams are mid-table with ambitions to push for European spots, ensuring a competitive match with goals likely.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona +144, Valencia +190, Draw +235 Girona Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Girona 0 -130, Valencia 0 +110 Girona 0 (Pick) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 -105, Under 2.5 -115 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win in a closely contested, attacking match. Expect both teams to score, but Girona's home edge and attacking quality should deliver three points[2].

Predicted Score: Girona 2-1 Valencia


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Oviedo vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Game Overview

This is a La Liga regular season matchup where Real Oviedo hosts Levante. Oviedo enters as a slight favorite based on simulations and current form, but the teams are closely matched with moderate draw probability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oviedo has a slightly better recent form with a win probability of about 41%, Levante around 32%, and draws at 26%, according to advanced simulations.
  • Recent encounters have been competitive, with balanced results indicating a possible draw or narrow win for Oviedo. Both teams have scored in many prior matches.
  • No major injury reports impacting key players for either side have been highlighted, suggesting both teams should field near-full strength lineups.
  • The match is played at Oviedo's home stadium, which favors the home team slightly in terms of comfort and crowd support.
  • Both teams sit mid-table and strongly seek points to improve standings in early season, implying high motivation but no clear urgency difference.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oviedo +147, Levante +185, Draw +235 Oviedo ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Oviedo 0 -128, Levante 0 +108 Oviedo 0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oviedo 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oviedo at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Oviedo’s slight edge in form, home advantage, and balanced competitive dynamics, a narrow home win is the most value bet across the markets.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CA Osasuna vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar

Game Overview

CA Osasuna faces Getafe in a closely contested La Liga match. Osasuna is favored to win at home, but Getafe has a strong recent record against them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna has struggled on the road this season but has been solid at home. Getafe has shown resilience in their performances against Osasuna.
  • Getafe is undefeated in 11 of their last 12 matches against Osasuna, giving them a psychological edge.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for this matchup.
  • Home advantage typically plays a role, but Osasuna's recent form suggests caution.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Osasuna looking to improve their home record and Getafe aiming to continue their unbeaten streak against Osasuna.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Osasuna: 121, Getafe: 285, Draw: 193 Draw ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Osasuna: -0.25 -118, Getafe: 25 -102 Getafe +0.25 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.75: -112, Under 1.75: -108 Under 1.75 ★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 58%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match with Getafe likely to avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: 0-0 or 1-1


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