Match Analysis: Ontario Reign vs Henderson Silver Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Arena, Ontario, CA
Game Overview
This AHL matchup features the Ontario Reign hosting the Henderson Silver Knights in a Pacific Division contest early in the 2025-26 season. Both teams are motivated to gain an early edge as they start their campaigns at home and on the road respectively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ontario Reign have started strong with home advantages and solid form, playing their first four games at home. Henderson Silver Knights started on the road facing tough opponents, showing resilience but slightly less consistency. Both teamsβ recent form shows close competitiveness but Ontario has a slight edge at home.
- Recent head-to-head data indicates tightly contested matches with no dominant team. The Reign benefit from home ice where they have historically performed better against Henderson, with slightly more wins and favorable goal differentials in those settings.
- No significant injuries reported for either side just before this match, suggesting full-strength lineups will be on ice, maintaining both teamsβ usual depth and tactical options.
- Ontario enjoys the home crowd support at Toyota Arena with promotional events that boost motivation and attendance. Travel fatigue is minimal for Henderson but playing away early in the season can impact performance marginally.
- Ontario Reign aims to leverage a strong home start to solidify playoff aspirations early. Henderson Silver Knights seek to prove their road competitiveness and build momentum against divisional rivals.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Henderson Silver Knights: +110, Ontario Reign: -145 | Ontario Reign | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Henderson Silver Knights +1.5: -240, Ontario Reign -1.5: +180 | Ontario Reign -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 5.5: -110, Under 5.5: -120 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ontario Reign 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 5.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Ontario Reign at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ontario Reign to win moneyline; Ontario Reign to cover -1.5 spread; Under 5.5 goals
Predicted Score: Ontario Reign 3 – 1 Henderson Silver Knights